I strongly expect that this may well be true. She may not even make it through the primary.
Why would you say that? It’s an open primary. Democrats will flock to Lizard and so will Never Trumpers. She’ll be well financed and face several primary opponents who will split the MAGA vote against her. Add all that up and she has to be the slight favorite to win the primary.
Didn’t know they had open primaries there. Explains a lot.