Tropical Storm Fred

NHC/NOAA ^ | 10 August 2021 | NHC/NOAA

[Jemian]

Thank you for these threads. I rely on them very much.

[Road Warrior ‘04]

There goes the weekend!

[Ann Archy]

LOL!!! I thought you were talking about another STORM!!!

[StAnDeliver]

Hmm, that was Hurricane Ike’s track from the same spot before it veered left. But it was a Cat 4 by then and was making its own weather.

[VastRWCon]

Looks like the FL Treasure coast (east) is now out of the cone.

https://rumble.com/vl096r-81121-tropical-update.html

[NautiNurse]

That is a relief.

[NautiNurse]

Many thanks for your local report. The NHC held off on naming Fred all day yesterday. Do you plan to fly back to FL before Fred creeps up the Gulf coast?

[cll]

Do you plan to fly back to FL before Fred creeps up the Gulf coast?

No, not until Thanksgiving I think.

Not-so-funny story: I think calamity follows me. One week into my family visit there and we get hit by T-storms and a power outage. They were telling me to go back to the island already!

[NautiNurse]

Do you have a Generac at the FL home yet? :::chuckle:::

[VastRWCon]

“That is a relief.”

Yep, the Bonita Blast fishing tournament (Port Salerno) is Saturday so hopefully it won’t be canceled.

[MagUSNRET]

I sure hope this one bypasses P’Cola! I JUST got finished paying for the repairs from the last hurricane!

[NautiNurse]

The price we pay for living in paradise...

[TigersEye]

They could have named it Fredo.
Tropical Storm Fredo is smart, not like everybody says, like dumb, it’s smart and it deserves respect!

[NautiNurse]

...Center of Fred Crossing the Dominican Republic...

500 PM ET Update
-------------------------------
About 75 MI WNW of Santo Domingo Dominican Republic
About 210 MI SE of Great Iguana Island
Max Sustained Winds...40 MPH
Moving...WNW at 15 MPH
Minimum Pressure...1007 MB

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles from the center.

On/Off Hurricane List Mash Here-->

[lee martell]

Now, that name would have raised a few eyebrows!

[NautiNurse]

500 PM Discussion

Fred is expected to weaken to a depression over Hispaniola during
the next 12 h. Once back over water, the cyclone is expected to be
in a moderate westerly shear environment through at least 60 h. Due
to that, and the uncertainty in how well organized the system
will be after crossing Hispaniola, the intensity forecast shows
only modest intensification during this time. After that time, the
global models forecast that an upper-level trough over Florida
will gradually move to the north, with an large upper-level
anticyclone following near or to the southeast of Fred.

The intensity forecast will show a slightly faster rate of
strengthening after 72 h to match the guidance and the previous
forecast. However, there is lower than normalconfidence in this
part of the intensity forecast.

[Maskot]

Whew!

[Maskot]

Let’s hope not! It is a blast!!

[SE Mom]

Luckily, I’m working this weekend so won’t get rained out of fun, outdoors stuff😊

[VastRWCon]

Canceled premature morons.