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How screwed are Democrats in the Senate?
msn.com ^ | 10/18/21 | Andrew Prokop

Posted on 10/18/2021 10:27:30 AM PDT by cotton1706

Democrats are terrified of what the future holds for them in the United States Senate.

The party currently controls half the seats in the chamber, giving them, with Vice President Harris’s tie-breaking vote, the narrowest possible majority. But some in the party — like pollster David Shor, recently profiled by Ezra Klein in the New York Times — believe demographic trends put Democrats at grave risk of falling into a deep hole over the next two election cycles.

That risk exists even if Democrats continue to win more votes nationwide. “If 2024 is simply a normal year, in which Democrats win 51 percent of the two-party vote, Shor’s model projects a seven-seat loss, compared with where they are now,” Klein writes.

In other words, Republicans could well get a 57 to 43 Senate majority, the GOP’s biggest in about a century, even if Democrats win more votes.

This sense of impending Senate doom is the backdrop for many of Democrats’ debates right now — the messaging fight over whether the party should embrace “popularism,” the legislative fight over the reconciliation package that may be Democrats’ last chance to legislate for some time, and the frustration with a conservative Supreme Court majority that looks likely to be entrenched for years to come.

Democrats’ main problem is that they’ve been doing poorly among white voters without a college education, who are spread out across many states, while Democrats’ voters are concentrated in fewer, bigger states. (This is why Shor has been arguing that the party needs to change its message to better appeal to such voters.)

(Excerpt) Read more at msn.com ...


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Editorial; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2022election; election2022; elections
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1 posted on 10/18/2021 10:27:30 AM PDT by cotton1706
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To: cotton1706

Oh man may it be so.

Perhaps we have hit rock bottom? One can hope.


2 posted on 10/18/2021 10:28:29 AM PDT by Persevero (You cannot comply your way out of tyranny. )
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To: cotton1706

Not nearly enough, especially with their fingers on the voting scale...


3 posted on 10/18/2021 10:29:03 AM PDT by kosciusko51
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To: cotton1706

It’s not the ‘messaging’, it’s the ‘message’......................


4 posted on 10/18/2021 10:30:36 AM PDT by Red Badger (Homeless veterans camp in the streets while illegal aliens are put up in hotels.....................)
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To: cotton1706

the DemoNaziCommies will continue to “win” the Senate as they have their Election Theft Machine firmly entrenched now in all of the key states


5 posted on 10/18/2021 10:31:04 AM PDT by faithhopecharity (Politicians are not born, they are excreted. Marcus Tullius Cicero (106 to 43 BCE))
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To: cotton1706

So, why are they so determined to jump off the cliff for Bernie’s Bill? Maybe they figure they’re doomed in any event.


6 posted on 10/18/2021 10:31:45 AM PDT by colorado tanker
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To: colorado tanker

“So, why are they so determined to jump off the cliff for Bernie’s Bill? Maybe they figure they’re doomed in any event.”

They’re going for broke. This is their only chance to get leftism into law.


7 posted on 10/18/2021 10:32:40 AM PDT by cotton1706
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To: cotton1706

Not at all.

Because even if the GOP were to win 75 seats all we would hear on ABCNNBCBSMSNBC is AOL, Pelosi, Schiff and all the usual suspects 24/7 reporting on how terrible everything is.


8 posted on 10/18/2021 10:33:25 AM PDT by Mr. K (No consequence of repealing obamacare is worse than obamacare itself)
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To: cotton1706
There are two reasons the democrats need not have any fear at all:

1. Election fraud is now codified and accepted

2. Even IF the repubilcants somehow overcame #1, it isn't as if they would do anything but share power with the dems and give them whatever they want anyway.

9 posted on 10/18/2021 10:34:07 AM PDT by Sicon ("All animals are equal, but some animals are more equal than others." - G. Orwell)
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To: faithhopecharity

Well faith hope charity let’s have some faith and hope - if the nazis and the commies and various occupiers were overcome surely we can manage. I have not yet begun to fight.


10 posted on 10/18/2021 10:34:32 AM PDT by Persevero (You cannot comply your way out of tyranny. )
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To: kosciusko51

Writer is talking 2 cycles. Off year(2022) always favors the party out of the WH. 2024 may be a bigger wave for the reasons the writer stated but we have to think of ‘22 first. No excuse for the 2 losses in Ga.


11 posted on 10/18/2021 10:34:57 AM PDT by DIRTYSECRET
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To: Sicon

Please don’t join ME in the trenches. Had you been in France it would still be a Vichy government!


12 posted on 10/18/2021 10:35:22 AM PDT by Persevero (You cannot comply your way out of tyranny. )
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To: cotton1706

Not scared at all. They’re in charge of the vote count.


13 posted on 10/18/2021 10:35:57 AM PDT by Old Yeller (You can’t obey your way out of tyranny.)
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To: Persevero

agreed (but it took over 40,000,000 corpses before the Nazis were “defeated” (and they’re back)....

it may not be easy to restore honest elections here today

we will see
hopefully yours,
fhc


14 posted on 10/18/2021 10:36:39 AM PDT by faithhopecharity (Politicians are not born, they are excreted. Marcus Tullius Cicero (106 to 43 BCE))
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To: DIRTYSECRET

We have to accept that demographics will help the left long term. Fraud can be dealt with even if it’s only addressed in red state legislatures.


15 posted on 10/18/2021 10:37:05 AM PDT by DIRTYSECRET
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To: cotton1706

I’d like the majority in 2022. I’m impatient.


16 posted on 10/18/2021 10:37:12 AM PDT by 1Old Pro (Let's make crime illegal again!)
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Scared enough to stop counting on election night.


17 posted on 10/18/2021 10:37:22 AM PDT by proust (All posts made under this handle are, for the intents and purposes of the author, considered satire.)
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To: DIRTYSECRET

Does massive organized Democratic Party voter fraud count as an “excuse”?


18 posted on 10/18/2021 10:37:46 AM PDT by cgbg (A kleptocracy--if they can keep it. Think of it as the Cantillon Effect in action.)
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To: cotton1706
This guy says the Democrats shouldn’t be worried.


19 posted on 10/18/2021 10:38:23 AM PDT by Leaning Right (The steal is real.)
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To: cotton1706

Not at all, courtesy of the DemoRino Fraud Machine.


20 posted on 10/18/2021 10:38:38 AM PDT by Ingtar
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