Posted on 12/31/2021 2:53:28 AM PST by Kaslin
A new climate panic is gripping the far-Left profiteers of doom. Those few of Them who are climate scientists have made fame and fortune by telling us the world is toast unless the once-free West (though responsible for only a fifth of the world’s sins of emission) commits economic hara-kiri. The cost of placating climate Communism is already in the quadrillions.
However, They are becoming aware that Their official climate narrative is rooted in a grave error of physics – an error so elementary that it can be described here. At a vital point in Their calculation of how much warming we may cause, They forgot the Sun was shining.
By 1850, before we had any measurable impact on global temperature, direct warming from naturally occurring greenhouse gases other than water vapor was about 8 degrees absolute (Kelvin). Yet the total natural greenhouse effect by that year was 32 K – the difference between the measured global temperature of 287 K and the sunshine-only emission temperature of 255 K.
The 24 K difference between the 8 K direct and 32 K final greenhouse-gas warming up to 1850 was temperature feedback response, a knock-on, additional warming chiefly caused by more water vapor in warmer air.
Thus, They imagined, the system-gain factor – by which direct warming before feedback response is multiplied to give final warming including feedback response – was about 32 / 8, or 4. Since direct warming by doubled CO2 is little more than 1 K, they imagined that final doubled-CO2 warming – roughly equivalent to all the final warming we may cause throughout the 21st century – would be about 4 K.
That was Their mistake. They had forgotten that the water-vapor feedback (all others broadly self-cancel) must respond not only to direct warming, such as greenhouse-gas warming,
(Excerpt) Read more at americanthinker.com ...
One word......SCAM
Shouldn’t have to worry about it much longer...the vaxxed fools who believe all this climate crap will be dead...
an error so elementary that it can be described here
I Majored in math, minored in physics, MS meteorology,MSE aerospace engineering.
I did not find the explanation elementary.
But I agree the sun and CO2 are our friends
I know he means well, but his writing style is impenetrable.
BFL
Lord Mocton theories are actually quite disputed even in the climate realist circles.
However, the basic is clear. The Co2 does not causes too much temperature growth per se. But there may be a positive feedback. If you raise temperature by x (by increasing Co2), it triggers other processes, which will overall raise temperature by f times x.
The whole climate warming is pretty much debate about what the f is.
From 1 up to 12!.
The bigger the f, the more catastrophic the predictions became.
But really, nobody knows!
However the huge numbers are clearly wrong, but those are the ones “media” like.
“The New Climate of Panic Among the Panic-Mongers”
All good and fine, but solar panels and windmills (like Teslas) make me feel good, and that has to count also.
(by the way, for those who don’t drink this stuff for a living, 1K (Kelvin) is the same as 1 degree C, which is same as 1.8 degrees F)
This is all about pollution. The left realized that it’s their policies which caused our air, soil and water to become polluted so they changed the message to climate. This goes back to the “Love Canal” days and all the soil remediation efforts.
He posted several dissertations on Watts Up With That over the last 4 years or so. I went through his calculations, and he is correct.
And climate scientists don’t know what to do about it.
“I know he means well, but his writing style is impenetrable.”
It can be, yes. He is brilliant, correct, but gets so excited it’s hard to follow sometimes. I’ve spent some time going through his logic, and he is right.
I “follow the science” by looking for massive price slashing in beachfront property.
No price slashing, no “climate change”.
Easy peasy.
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