[LS]

Probably. One thing we need to get in our heads is that you have to win by more than the margin of the refs-—that is, I think routinely the refs cheat against some of my teams. To some degree we can control the refs, to other degrees we need to bury them beyond the margin of fraud.

And I am fully down with GOP cheating if that is what it takes.

[kiryandil]

We're asked to believe that Kobach "lost" because Trump became unpopular in Kansas in 2018.

That trend should have stayed static or edged up/down a bit in 2020.

Instead, Trump gained 100,000 votes in Kansas over his 2016 showing [a 15% increase].

[blue is associated with counties that were blue for Kelly in 2018]

							Trump 2020	Trump 2020
							minus	div
County	Trump 2016		Kobach		Trump 2020		Trump 2016	Trump 2016
Allen	3,651		2,292		4,218		567	116%
Anderson	2,435		1,596		2,929		494	120%
Atchison	4,049		2,558		4,906		857	121%
Barber	1,850		1,155		2,014		164	109%
Barton	7,888		4,841		8,608		720	109%
Bourbon	4,424		2,970		5,023		599	114%
Brown	2,906		1,836		3,262		356	112%
Butler	19,073		12,822		22,634		3,561	119%
Chase	969		653		1,123		154	116%
Chautauqua	1,236		808		1,402		166	113%
Cherokee	6,182		4,284		6,766		584	109%
Cheyenne	1,173		733		1,183		10	101%
Clark	825		521		904		79	110%
Clay	2,891		1,743		3,177		286	110%
Cloud	2,919		1,744		3,242		323	111%
Coffey	3,050		1,926		3,489		439	114%
Comanche	715		453		762		47	107%
Cowley	8,270		5,165		9,656		1,386	117%
Crawford	8,624		5,662		10,045		1,421	116%
Decatur	1,210		736		1,260		50	104%
Dickinson	6,029		3,790		7,126		1,097	118%
Doniphan	2,606		1,699		2,976		370	114%
Douglas	14,688		10,154		17,286		2,598	118%
Edwards	1,037		692		1,141		104	110%
Elk	1,048		669		1,140		92	109%
Ellis	8,466		5,138		9,758		1,292	115%
Ellsworth	1,969		1,168		2,148		179	109%
Finney	6,350		3,891		7,236		886	114%
Ford	5,114		3,574		5,803		689	113%
Franklin	7,185		4,742		8,479		1,294	118%
Geary	4,274		2,769		5,323		1,049	125%
Gove	1,140		720		1,291		151	113%
Graham	1,025		671		1,080		55	105%
Grant	1,804		1,096		1,936		132	107%
Gray	1,698		1,138		1,911		213	113%
Greeley	534		313		549		15	103%
Greenwood	2,160		1,214		2,444		284	113%
Hamilton	705		373		698		-7	99%
Harper	1,996		1,243		2,168		172	109%
Harvey	8,668		5,872		10,182		1,514	117%
Haskell	1,040		681		1,122		82	108%
Hodgeman	855		597		875		20	102%
Jackson	3,939		2,565		4,517		578	115%
Jefferson	5,213		3,485		6,334		1,121	122%
Jewell	1,223		765		1,387		164	113%
Johnson	137,490		102,813		155,631		18,141	113%
Kearny	1,075		687		1,164		89	108%
Kingman	2,530		1,764		3,130		600	124%
Kiowa	900		615		980		80	109%
Labette	5,335		3,273		5,735		400	107%
Lane	718		437		762		44	106%
Leavenworth	17,638		12,379		21,610		3,972	123%
Lincoln	1,179		769		1,283		104	109%
Linn	3,484		2,401		4,048		564	116%
Logan	1,132		785		1,249		117	110%
Lyon	6,552		3,920		7,550		998	115%
Marion	4,003		2,564		4,465		462	112%
Marshall	3,307		1,581		3,729		422	113%
McPherson	8,549		5,832		9,964		1,415	117%
Meade	1,415		914		1,523		108	108%
Miami	10,003		7,160		12,308		2,305	123%
Mitchell	2,308		1,375		2,504		196	108%
Montgomery	8,679		6,133		9,931		1,252	114%
Morris	1,820		1,106		2,124		304	117%
Morton	995		626		1,034		39	104%
Nemaha	4,124		2,605		4,664		540	113%
Neosho	4,431		2,930		4,970		539	112%
Ness	1,228		808		1,339		111	109%
Norton	1,840		1,187		2,007		167	109%
Osage	4,826		2,964		5,705		879	118%
Osborne	1,460		907		1,629		169	112%
Ottawa	2,283		1,497		2,610		327	114%
Pawnee	1,904		1,145		2,045		141	107%
Phillips	2,233		1,419		2,418		185	108%
Pottawatomie	7,612		5,384		9,452		1,840	124%
Pratt	2,838		1,701		3,108		270	110%
Rawlins	1,220		771		1,261		41	103%
Reno	15,513		9,892		18,443		2,930	119%
Republic	2,024		1,245		2,182		158	108%
Rice	2,837		1,729		3,262		425	115%
Riley	10,107		6,514		11,610		1,503	115%
Rooks	2,031		1,409		2,325		294	114%
Rush	1,197		754		1,350		153	113%
Russell	2,574		1,564		2,790		216	108%
Saline	13,828		8,384		15,722		1,894	114%
Scott	1,865		1,244		2,014		149	108%
Sedgwick	104,353		70,879		122,416		18,063	117%
Seward	3,159		2,009		3,372		213	107%
Shawnee	35,934		23,933		40,443		4,509	113%
Sheridan	1,197		795		1,282		85	107%
Sherman	2,089		1,376		2,269		180	109%
Smith	1,661		1,074		1,763		102	106%
Stafford	1,490		950		1,645		155	110%
Stanton	492		376		614		122	125%
Stevens	1,599		1,042		1,760		161	110%
Sumner	6,984		4,203		8,105		1,121	116%
Thomas	2,908		1,856		3,130		222	108%
Trego	1,227		755		1,363		136	111%
Wabaunsee	2,372		1,582		2,845		473	120%
Wallace	721		506		770		49	107%
Washington	2,194		1,342		2,363		169	108%
Wichita	769		560		808		39	105%
Wilson	2,788		1,869		3,153		365	113%
Woodson	1,082		693		1,228		146	113%
Wyandotte	15,806		10,526		18,934		3,128	120%
	671,018		453,030		771,406		100,388	115%