Replies

Arthur is promoting the idea that Dems can flip 7 Senate seats.....

No, the author lists the 7 seats most likely to flip in either direction: Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and North Carolina (currently Republican), and Georgia, Nevada, Arizona, and New Hampshire (currently Democratic). So even if the Dems run the table on these 7 states (unlikely), their net pickup is only 3 seats. And they could flip those 3 and still lose the Senate if the GOP flips the 4 others.

Of course, there are other possible Democratic gains, such as Ohio (open seat, currently Republican) and Florida (Rubio could lose to a Dem). In Colorado, the Republicans might oust Bennet, who won by only 4 percentage points in 2016.