Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Georgia are all the Republican’s to lose. Never underestimate their ability to blow it.
Despite the closeness of the only poll (2 months old) which showed a close race in Ohio, I don’t think the Republicans are going to blow that one. Ryan pretends at being a moderate, RINO voters (ones who preferred Dolan or Timken in the primary) may flock to him out of spite, and this race was always likely to be much closer than most expected.
As far as people who think a Democrat can’t POSSIBLY win in Ohio, how quickly they have forgotten 2008, 2012 and 2018. But Vance should win, maybe even by 10 points or so.
Georgia and Pennsylvania (and Wisconsin) are quite another matter, though.
Incorrect, at least for Georgia. The Stacy Abrams Fraud Machine™ is still in place and functioning. Any statewide election (Governor, Senator) will be won with fraudulent ballots in Fulton County.