“It’s a Quinnipiac poll. In 2018, they had DeSantis and Scott both losing by 7 on the eve of the election. Both of them won.”
In 2018, Quinnipiac had Cruz over Beto by 5, and Cruz only won by 2.8.
In 2018 Quinnipiac had Abbott over Valdez by 19, and he only won by 13.
So in Texas, Quinnipiac has had a history of overestimating Republican advantages. Exception being when Trump is on the ballot, which pumps up GOP turnout.
Nice try, but it’s a fail. Q had Trump and Biden TIED in Texas in 2020. Trump won by 6.
In the aftermath of 2020, there were 5 pollsters with a very statistically significant Democrat bias, across the board, not just in any one state.
Economist/YouGov, CNBC/Change Research, NBC News/Wall Street Journal, USC Dornslife, and Quinnipiac.
Surprise, these same polls are consistent left outliers on the RCP averages.
But hey, let’s test how much you believe the Q poll.
I’ll bet that Abbott wins by more than 6. Loser leaves FR for good.
You game? Do you trust Q that much? Let’s see if you do.