They underestimated Republicans across the board, not just Trump, and they’ve done it in multiple elections.
In 2016, Quinnipiac had a D bias of +4.2
https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/17457289.2018.1441850
In 2020, Quinnipiac had the largest D bias of ANY pollster.
https://costaspanagopoulos.com/files/costas-panagopoulos/files/panagopoulos_2021_psq_poll_accuracy.pdf
It wasn’t limited to Trump. They got things wrong across the board.
Their final poll in Maine had Gideon +12, Collins won by 8.6. That’s a 20 point miss.
Their final poll in Iowa had Ernst +2, she won by 6.6.
Their final poll in Texas had Cornyn +6, he won by 10.
Their other big misses, Georgia November Warnock +19 (it was only +7), McConnell +12 (he won by 19.6), Tie in SC, Graham won by 10.3.
The average miss was nearly double digits ACROSS THE BOARD.
You can stamp your feet all that you want, but you won’t change the data.
But since you were dumb enough to take the bet, I’ll spot you the points.
Abbott wins by at least a 53-43 spread. If he does, you can’t ever post on FR again.
blah blah blah.You are so dumb I don’t know why I’m bothering to reply.
Your retarded “bold” prediction is Abbott wins 53%? That’s literally the Q poll number. With +/- 2.7% margin of error. So agree with the poll and are too dumb to know it. Q is saying Abbott could get 55.7%. You tell me Q has a 4 point bias, which would good luck with that, and good bye!
Conryn was on the ballot with Trump, so he over performed. Abbott and Cruz didn’t benefit from Trump and underperformed. Neither Cruz nor Abbott are particularly loved by MAGA texans so they aren’t going to go out of their way to vote like they did for Trump. Texas also had 310k people move into the state in 2021.