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Election Forecaster 538 Shifts Model, Predicts GOP Favored to Retake Senate
Breitbart ^ | 11/01/2022 | WENDELL HUSEBØ

Posted on 11/01/2022 11:39:06 AM PDT by ChicagoConservative27

Republicans are now favored to retake the Senate on November 8, forecaster FiveThirtyEight predicted Tuesday for the first time since July.

FiveThirtyEight estimated Republicans are favored to take back the Senate with 51 seats. The Senate is currently split 50/50 with Vice President Kamala Harris as the tie-breaking vote.

The pollster appears to have shifted the Nevada race in favor of Republicans. Nevada Republican Adam Laxalt is challenging Democrat Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto (D-NV).

(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Culture/Society; Government; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: 2022election; 2024election; election2022; election2024; gop; predicts; retake; senate; tdaw
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BIG WOW
1 posted on 11/01/2022 11:39:07 AM PDT by ChicagoConservative27
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To: ChicagoConservative27

51-49. Won’t happen. If it’s that close, one seat will be stolen because the system is completely corrupted.


2 posted on 11/01/2022 11:40:21 AM PDT by CatOwner (Don't expect anyone, even conservatives, to have your back when the SHTF in 2021 and beyond.)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

Unexpected.


3 posted on 11/01/2022 11:40:30 AM PDT by Col Frank Slade
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To: ChicagoConservative27

The yurtle will intervene and snatch defeat from the jaws of victory


4 posted on 11/01/2022 11:41:45 AM PDT by V_TWIN (America...so great even the people that hate it refuse to leave)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

Doesn’t matter so long as Willard and the Weird Sisters from AK and ME are still around.


5 posted on 11/01/2022 11:42:29 AM PDT by decal (They won't stop, so they'll have to be stopped)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

Liddle Nate Silver must be worried about who’s going to hire him to do phoney-baloney polls and stuff if the dems lose power. Saw something from Doug Schoen that sounded the same way, a gollum sucking up to whoever will have the precious.


6 posted on 11/01/2022 11:43:59 AM PDT by bigbob (z)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

This idiot is always wrong, so this is not good news


7 posted on 11/01/2022 11:44:38 AM PDT by qam1 (There's been a huge party. All plates and the bottles are empty, all that's left is the bill to pay)
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To: decal

Even the useless Rinos will not vote to roll over to hot mic Chuckie and give him the nuclear option. My 401K is loving this gridlock stuff.


8 posted on 11/01/2022 11:45:28 AM PDT by scottinoc
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To: ChicagoConservative27

If I know the current GOP, I expect them to blow it and find a way to let the democrats cheat their way to victory... AGAIN.


9 posted on 11/01/2022 11:45:40 AM PDT by Bullish (Rot'sa Ruck America. )
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To: ChicagoConservative27

They use the polls steer voters then change them up toward the end to appear nonpartisan.

EVERY SINGLE TIME.


10 posted on 11/01/2022 11:46:01 AM PDT by packagingguy
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To: CatOwner
Yep. You have to be up by 4 or 5 to ensure it.

You know the drill—votes found in the trunk of a car at 3 AM. Or Dem ballots fed through the tabulator over and over again. Or counting stops at midnight with Republicans ahead— counting resumes at 7 AM and suddenly the Democrats are ahead.

Nothing to see here.

11 posted on 11/01/2022 11:47:31 AM PDT by Governor Dinwiddie (LORD, grant thy people grace to withstand the temptations of the world, the flesh, and the devil.)
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To: CatOwner

Its looking more like 54R in the Senate. Polls are now showing Bolduc in the lead!

New Hampshire (Saint Anslem)

Senate
Bolduc(R): 48%
Hassan(D-Inc): 47%

Governor
Sununu(R-Inc): 55%
Sherman(D): 37%

NH-01
Leavitt(R): 51%
Pappas(D-Inc): 42%

NH-02
Kuster(D-Inc): 50%
Burns(R): 42%

https://www.anselm.edu/sites/default/files/Documents/NHIOP/Polls/SACSC_NHLV_1022_Book%20Final.pdf


12 posted on 11/01/2022 11:48:54 AM PDT by Nicojones
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To: CatOwner

CatOwner is deeply saddened.


13 posted on 11/01/2022 11:53:25 AM PDT by TexasGurl24
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To: ChicagoConservative27

SHHHHHHHHHHHH!!!

The Hill has the dems winning this thing going away. And I for one fully agree. If I were the dems, I’d just stop campaigning and practice spiking the ball in the end zone. It’s in the bag.

What you need to do now dems is pound January 6th and Green Energy. Don’t be shy, the voters love it and it is what has put you in this position of certain victory.

Ignore the naysayers, you got this.


14 posted on 11/01/2022 12:05:14 PM PDT by FlipWilson
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To: ChicagoConservative27

if by some remote chance the Republicans take control of the US Senate, their first order of business hopefully will be to remove Mitch McConnell from the Senate Majority Leader position. Rand Paul is likely the most honest senator on the Hill, hopefully they would install him as their Majority leader.


15 posted on 11/01/2022 12:09:58 PM PDT by drypowder
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To: ChicagoConservative27

Just in time.

They do the last minute poll correction every time so their final numbers match reality.

Yawn


16 posted on 11/01/2022 12:10:47 PM PDT by Pxzftrnqfrn
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To: ChicagoConservative27

Never trust polls! BUT,

RCP is projecting Republican pickups in GA,NV,NH,AZ with Republicans holding PA and others (NC,OH,WI). RCP has the Senate at 54-46 Republican.

Now, 538 is saying Republicans will control the Senate.

Only the results next week matter, however, I’d rather be in Republican shoes right now than Dems.


17 posted on 11/01/2022 12:15:31 PM PDT by Roadrunner383 (;)
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To: Col Frank Slade

“Unexpected.”

Well, the Biden administration along with their media helpers apparently couldn’t make their case to a majority of voters.

The case against them is actually seen in our economy, not their words.`

The administration must have thought in the early days that their ideas would have worked out better.


18 posted on 11/01/2022 12:16:12 PM PDT by cymbeline
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To: cymbeline

“Well, the Biden administration along with their media helpers apparently couldn’t make their case to a majority of voters.”

Surprising, who could foresee that a constant stream of Trans-Rights/Jan.6/Abortion wouldn’t win over voters having to put up with record crime and inflation?


19 posted on 11/01/2022 12:20:37 PM PDT by Roadrunner383 (;)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

If this happens, new majority leaders are needed.


20 posted on 11/01/2022 12:23:21 PM PDT by mrmeyer (You can't conquer a free man; the most you can do is kill him. Robert Heinlein)
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