Posted on 11/08/2022 2:18:44 PM PST by frogjerk
Note: The time of the tropical cyclone's center location at the bottom of the graphic will be 3 hours earlier than the time of the current advisory. The forecast cycle for each advisory begins 3 hours prior to the issuance of the advisory products.
These graphics show probabilities of sustained (1-minute average) surface wind speeds equal to or exceeding 34 kt (39 mph). These wind speed probability graphics are based on the official National Hurricane Center (NHC) track, intensity, and wind radii forecasts, and on NHC forecast error statistics for those forecast variables during recent years. Each graphic provides cumulative probabilities that wind speeds of at least 39 mph will occur during cumulative time periods at each specific point on the map. The cumulative periods begin at the start of the forecast period and extend through the entire 5-day forecast period at cumulative 12-hour intervals (i.e., 0-12 h, 0-24 h, 0-36 h, ... , 0-120 h). An individual graphic is produced for each cumulative interval, and the capability to zoom and animate through the periods is provided. To assess the overall risk of experiencing winds of at least 39 mph at any location, the 120-h graphics are recommended.
(Excerpt) Read more at nhc.noaa.gov ...
Stay safe.
Brandons fault!
Hilarious. Been watching too much Gutfeld!
Our daughter and family are going down to Miami Thursday to board for a seven day cruise. Not sure what is going to come of it.
The local Miami tv media is not showing viewers the forecast track—just the “cone of concern”.
The weather reporters say people don’t need to see the line, just the cone because the cone is where the storm COULD go.
In other words, they think you’re an idiot.
They’ll be fine.
South Florida will have wind and rain Wednesday. Thursday onward will be okay for your family.
I’m concerned because I’m flying from San Francisco to Charlotte on Friday — and I would HATE for my flight to be cancelled and get stuck in San Francisco…
looks more like tropical storm Nick
Thanks for the info. I’ll pass it on to them.
Here from Broward County:
As of 8AM today, Port Everglades was placed into Port condition YANKEE, which means expected onset of gale force winds (39 – 54 mph) within 24 hours. Waterside operations and inbound trucks will cease at 8PM today, when the Port goes under condition ZULU, as directed by the Coast Guard. Outbound container trucks will continue operations throughout the day. Fuel supplies are not expected to be an issue.
https://www.broward.org/Hurricane/Documents/Snapshot%232%20Tropical%20Storm%20Nicole.pdf
Miami would have even less concern. They’re fine.
Probably better to fly to Atlanta and then drive.
I’m seeing may get upgraded to hurricane soon?
bfd
looks like a cock and balls
LOL Looks like a Golf Club to me
RE: for a seven day cruise.
“I’m sure everything will be on schedule.”—Willie Gilligan.
Rainstorm, move along
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