[protoconservative]

I do not disagree. With enough modern anti air, the Russian conscripts die in large numbers in the general area of Illinka and Krasna Zor’ka fighting a 1980s war against one guided by the same overwatch of NATO drones.

Putin cannot move his troops within Russia, because they are mentally tied to a NATO threat. He is stuck with intermediate weapons to fight a battle in Germany in a two highway chunk of land in Crimea that he says is his. With that setup odds are there will be a rout and a artillery reduction of the forces.

The scary thing is if Russia fully collapses due to a expedition loss within a drive of moscow, what does the new Russia look like. Worse than 1999 we might hear about places in asia that have never made history before. There is a bit of pent up local rage on the east of russia.

[MinorityRepublican]

if Russia fully collapses due to a expedition loss within a drive of moscow, what does the new Russia look like. Worse than 1999 we might hear about places in asia that have never made history before. There is a bit of pent up local rage

Unlikely. If Putin goes. Most likely, he'll be replaced by a nationalist. Alexander Bortnikov would be my guess.

Russia was in way worse shape back in 1999. It was at brink of anarchy. That's not the case today. Russia is in a stupid war. There is economic stagnation. Political repression. But people are much better off than they were in 1999. They are not thriving but they are suffering a lot less today (unless you are a conscript fighting in Ukraine then yes it sucks to be you because you are cannon fodder).

[Robert DeLong]

You may want to read:

An interview with General Valery Zaluzhny, head of Ukraine’s armed forces

I haven't read it, because I don't want a subscription, but Scott Ritter has , which is where I heard it:

Scott Ritter - Ukraine Russia War Latest 12/16/22