“I wonder if video card prices will drop and availability will increase?”
For the models that were new in 2020 and unavialbe until mid 2022 now is the time to pick one up. The 2023 generation has sufficient performance uplift and availability the RTX3080 and XT6800 are the value standard. The drivers are optimized for 3 year old cards as far as they ever will be.
I expect a RTX3080 will become the reach upwards for performance the budget builder in 2Q2023. A 400 dollar computer less video card with a 300 dollar upgraded graphics card is all that the mortals need. RAM, Storage and Lower Half CPUs are at cheap end of the cycle. Motherboards seem to holding onto covid pricing. Everything else, just shop around and dont be afraid of lightly used for 50% discounts.
Pretty much anything is an upgrade to my GTX 970 with 1GB of video RAM.
The computer is 2015 vintage, but an i5-6500 @3.2 GHz, 32GB RAM, an M.2 boot drive and terabytes of fast SSD is still overkill in the computing department.