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To: canuck_conservative
NATO analysis suggests that Russia can keep up the pace of military action in the Ukraine for at least 2 years based simply on their reserves.

They are in the process of mobilizing so that may be conservative.

Modern warfare burns through smart weapons that are difficult to replace in any militarily significant time frame at a rapid burn rate. NATO, including the US, are burning through our stock piles of advanced smart weapons at a stunning rate in our effort to prop up the Ukrainian resistance and keep them from being over run by the Russians. America alone has blown through 25-30% of it's war reserve stock piles of Javelin and Stinger missiles as well as a similar amount of artillery munitions.

These burn rates are unsustainable and due to budgetary constraints, supply chain issues, parts and materials shortages, covid driven labor shortages, energy shortages, and destruction of military/industrial manufacturing base it is becoming very difficult for NATO to replenish these expensive and difficult to manufacture munitions in both the critical short term and also in the longer term.

The Ukraine will face serious challenges as NATO is forced to withdraw the blank check Ukraine has been given - both in the form of billions in direct financial support and in the form of gift in kind of the advanced munitions that have been pretty much the only thing keeping the Ukraine in the fight.

There is a very real chance that neither NATO nor the Ukraine will be in a strong position to dictate terms to Russia - short of direct NATO intervention or a massive increase in supply of of already critically depleted NATO war reserves.

60 posted on 03/18/2023 3:38:42 PM PDT by rdcbn1
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To: rdcbn1

The Ukraine will face serious challenges as NATO is forced to withdraw the blank check Ukraine has been given - both in the form of billions in direct financial support and in the form of gift in kind of the advanced munitions that have been pretty much the only thing keeping the Ukraine in the fight.


ROFLMAO. Blank check? You mean the 30 Abrams tanks Brandon has promised the Ukrainians to be delivered NEXT YEAR? That will leave 5000 tanks in US Army inventory. Poland has ordered 1000 tanks, etc., etc.

The idea Russia can a win of attrition here against Ukraine fully supported by the NATO alliance is gut bustingly funny. No, the only way Russia can win is by the west abandoning Ukraine. That would allow Russia, the biggest country in the world, to rape its smaller neighbor in the usual and historic Russian way. Shame on any so-called conservative wishing such a fate on any people.


63 posted on 03/18/2023 6:05:53 PM PDT by lodi90
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