My personal opinion? The Deep State is manipulating the primaries so Trump will be the Republican nominee. Biden will beat him easily. Hell, he won't even need to cheat this time.
DeSantis might have a clear road to the White House in 2028. Four more years of Biden will make more Americans tired of the Blue Team. Even some members of Gen Z will have grown up by then. Especially when inflation continues to devour much of their earnings and their job prospects are limited to working at Starbucks as baristas.
No more cushy jobs at Twitter or Google. Being woke will be a luxury in 2028.
I’ve seen a lot more candidate fatigue on the Republican side after they’re in terms for a long time. I honestly don’t see how Biden could do any worse and upset the Democrats by even 2028 all that much.
The only one I can think of that Republicans stuck by solidly until the end and past is Reagan since Eisenhower. Carter is the only Democrat that really pushed his base away. Nixon, HW Bush, W people just didn’t in the their party, for good and bad reasons, just didn’t like that much.
I dunno, it’s interesting study material at least.