In 2020 the race was tight because of Covid. Without Covid, Trump would have won in a landslide. Had the election been in 2018, is it even a question who would have won? It was Covid which took away Trump’s biggest advantage: low inflation, low unemployment, real net wage growth for the middle class, real estate values rising, GDP growth far beyond expert predictions. It’s hard to steal an election when one side has an apparent and distinct victory: https://www.nytimes.com/elections/2016/results/president
People today are not happy. No matter what MSNBC and CNN claim, the corpse Biden is highly unpopular and people realize what they voted for: a corrupt political dynasty that stays in power by giving all the oligarchs and big corporations / financial institutions what they want.
Pharma is happy, those that want China trade are happy. Warren Buffett that doesn’t want a pipeline competing with his railroad is happy. Big tech concerned about an FCC breaking up monopolies is happy. The big unions are happy. The big insurance companies are happy. The big multinational corporations and financial institutions which want Ukraine got what they wanted, at least he tried. ***But all those “mom and pop shops” the common man from Scranton who rolls up his sleeves talks about, they’re getting it royally up the ass in the form of hidden taxes (CO2 fees), inflation, lack of available labor, growth in government regulatory requirements.***
It is ironic that a billionaire from New York who made his wealth from real estate and casinos, ivy league educated, more or less secular in his life, from a wealthy family, did more for the churches, middle class, blue collar and industrial worker than ANYONE else Republican or Democrat post WWII besides possibly Ronald Reagan. Yes, I think he’ll win.
Trump might be president today if he had been more active in shutting down the riots of 2020.