This is traditionally the timeframe of an election where Ron Paul would lead the polls.
The real games aren’t going to start until the beginning of 2024.
Ping Jockey is right: This thing is over. But due to Big Establishment Money behind DeSantis, the Tallahassee Team is going to limp along until Ron loses hard to Trump in the Florida primary in March. (See: Rubio, Marco—March 2016)
That analogy doesn't apply to Trump, who is the equivalent of incumbent having been President with a track record the base of the party likes.