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100% chance of USA recession in 2024: big bank
Fortune ^ | 6-15-2023 | CHRISTIAAN HETZNER

Posted on 06/16/2023 2:06:53 PM PDT by Old West Conservative

Deutsche Bank’s top minds put U.S. recession chance near 100%—and say avoiding a hard landing would be ‘historically unprecedented’

Output is expected to contract as early as October and continue shrinking during the all-important election year, making it the worst performing economy among G7 nations in 2024.

It appears as if U.S. economists may have popped the Champagne corks on a soft landing too early—at least according to Deutsche Bank.

The German multinational bank’s top research team believes Washington has sparked a boom-bust cycle that now is nearing its end stage. In its house view, the recession slated to arrive as soon as October is the inevitable consequence of a series of aggressive rate hikes designed to extinguish the very flames of inflation that policymakers ignited through their own actions during the COVID pandemic.

“Avoiding a hard landing would be historically unprecedented,” warned group chief economist David Folkerts-Landau in a research report titled The Clock Is Ticking, published on Wednesday.

(Excerpt) Read more at fortune.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; Unclassified
KEYWORDS: economy; election; inflation; jobs; recession
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To: Carriage Hill
--- "They keep moving the goalposts and lying all along the way. Doesn't matter who the POTUS is, they do it as SOP."


Agreed. This has played out before in many arenas, larger and small. There comes a time when a large restructuring -- choose any other word that you wish -- in which SHTF, and then the fan must be reset.

Reset. Not by the hubris of a "Great Rest" -- which I conclude a massive scam on the wealthy, with the middle class always also being hurt -- but by those "invisible hands" which one may attribute to the writings of Adam Smith, or various theological streams of thought, but NOT by the egotistical and psychopathic.

Hubris met reality a thousand times. Each time is surprised. Each time, it loses.

21 posted on 06/16/2023 4:25:10 PM PDT by Worldtraveler once upon a time (Degrow government)
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To: Fai Mao

I hope not, but I fear you may be right.

CBDC — digital currency — will be taking effect soon. Biden’s already signed it into law. That’s part of The Great Reset.


22 posted on 06/16/2023 4:32:56 PM PDT by Carriage Hill (A society grows great when old men plant trees, in whose shade they know they will never sit.)
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To: Old West Conservative

We’ve been in a recession since 2021...


23 posted on 06/16/2023 5:09:22 PM PDT by Bikkuri (I am proud to be a PureBlood.)
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To: Old West Conservative

Yes.

Either we have a bad recession or the nerdy, dimwitted independents will link with the brainwashed robotic lockstep Dems to destroy our only chance of saving the USA.

We have to have an economic downturn in 2024.


24 posted on 06/16/2023 5:58:21 PM PDT by frank ballenger (You have summoned up a thundercloud. You're gonna hear from me. Anthem by Leonard Cohen)
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