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The GOP primary isn’t over — but don’t let it ruin your life
New York Post ^ | September 7, 2023 | Karol Markowicz

Posted on 09/09/2023 12:14:02 PM PDT by Reno89519

Is the Republican race for presidential nominee over before any votes are cast? Some people sure would like it to be.

“It’s over!” Trump supporters declare with the assured enthusiasm of a Mets fan at spring training.

This is our year! No unforeseen injuries will cripple our chances! We’re going all the way!

A closer look at the numbers shows a ballgame very much in progress.

There’s no doubt Trump is a unique political phenomenon.

He makes people feel something. They vote with their heart for Trump. He’s magnetic.

But just as magnets attract, they repel.

Yes, Trump is polling far ahead of his competition.

But he also has been president already, has 100% name recognition and is only managing about half his party’s support.

The comparison shouldn’t be to candidates in past elections but to incumbents. And by that metric he’s getting smoked.

If Joe Biden had only 50% of the Democratic Party’s support, he’d be shoved off the stage before Democrats could even figure out how to avoid getting stuck with Kamala Harris.

And most of the polls you see in the news are national polls, and we do not have national elections.

The RealClearPolitics polling average has Trump at 43% in Iowa and 44% in New Hampshire, both states that vote in January.

If a candidate not named Donald Trump manages to win both Iowa and New Hampshire, it will be an entirely new ballgame by the time South Carolina votes the following month. Trump is at 45% there.

...

(Excerpt) Read more at nypost.com ...


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Culture/Society; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; Russia
KEYWORDS: 00000001desantis2024; desantis; desantis2024; fakenews; howcanigoon; influencers; karolmarkowicz; liferuined; president; primary; reno89519; rupertmurdoch; russiandisinfo; soruined; sovietunion; trump; whyfrisajoke
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Excellent discussion and reality check. Long article but worth the read.
1 posted on 09/09/2023 12:14:02 PM PDT by Reno89519
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To: Reno89519

“...has 100% name recognition and is only managing about half his party’s support.”

Closer to 60% now, which, by the way is TWICE what he had in 2015 at this time, also with 100% name recognition...and yet he won the White House that year.


2 posted on 09/09/2023 12:17:14 PM PDT by BobL (I eat at McDonald's and shop at Walmart, I just don't tell anyone)
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To: Reno89519

Lol

The horse race sells and gives Republican dwarf candidate supporters hope.

In reality, the 1973 Belmont is a more likely scenario.


3 posted on 09/09/2023 12:22:02 PM PDT by unclebankster ( Globalism is the last refuge scoundrel)
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To: BobL

Yes, he has the advantages of incumbency.


4 posted on 09/09/2023 12:24:35 PM PDT by Reno89519 (DeSantis 2024. Successful Governor, Honorable Veteran, Respectful, Respected. No Baggage, No Drama.)
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To: Reno89519
The GOP primary isn’t over...

Yes, it is.

5 posted on 09/09/2023 12:26:25 PM PDT by BlackbirdSST (Trump or Bust! Long live the Republic.)
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To: Reno89519

I expect Ron to have a better stronger showing at the next debate

He can win. I’m very confident as he is smart


6 posted on 09/09/2023 12:28:20 PM PDT by willWeEverBuildTheWall (DeSantis is the clear choice )
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To: BlackbirdSST

If you think so, take a break and turn back in next year.


7 posted on 09/09/2023 12:30:58 PM PDT by Reno89519 (DeSantis 2024. Successful Governor, Honorable Veteran, Respectful, Respected. No Baggage, No Drama.)
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To: Reno89519
Earlier this year I registered as a Republican so I could support a friend of mine in the primary election for a local office. It’s the first time I ever had any political party affiliation in my life.

My original plan was to switch back to “non-affiliated” right after the primary, but I decided to keep my GOP affiliation until next spring just so I can vote for Trump in my state’s primary in 2024.

I don’t think the losers at the New York Post have any idea how much contempt the average Republican voter has for the clowns the Post routinely peddle as political candidates.

8 posted on 09/09/2023 12:33:02 PM PDT by Alberta's Child (“Freedom is just another word for nothing left to lose.”)
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To: Reno89519

Pride goeth before a fall.

He’ll likely be the nominee, but it’s not as over as Trump supporters may wish it was.


9 posted on 09/09/2023 12:33:58 PM PDT by Trump20162020
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To: Alberta's Child

Good for you. I’m actually surprised at some of the vocal Freepers who turn out to not be registered Republicans so have no vote in most caucuses and primaries. Reminds me of a dear friend who has an opinion about everything, but is not even registered to vote.


10 posted on 09/09/2023 12:36:41 PM PDT by Reno89519 (DeSantis 2024. Successful Governor, Honorable Veteran, Respectful, Respected. No Baggage, No Drama.)
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To: Reno89519
If you think so, take a break and turn back in next year.

What, and miss out on all of fantasy trolling? I fine right here.

11 posted on 09/09/2023 12:38:39 PM PDT by BlackbirdSST (Trump or Bust! Long live the Republic.)
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To: BlackbirdSST

And I’ll be happy to engage you respectfully in your trolling. :)


12 posted on 09/09/2023 12:40:31 PM PDT by Reno89519 (DeSantis 2024. Successful Governor, Honorable Veteran, Respectful, Respected. No Baggage, No Drama.)
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To: All
WARNING

I've noticed that if you attempt to donate to a Republican candidate, you are redirected to “winred.”

In 2016 and 2020, I donated thousands of dollars to Trump by way of winred. As a result of my donations, I have received numerous emails, text messages, and phone calls on a daily basis. Every solicitation that I receive, I block. Unfortunately, the solicitations continue unabated as they emanate from different email addresses and phone numbers.

I will never again donate to any campaign that uses winred

13 posted on 09/09/2023 12:43:14 PM PDT by thegagline (Sic semper tyrannis! Goldwater in 2024!bermand )
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To: Reno89519
"And those voters should wrap their heads around the very possible reality the Republican presidential candidate will indeed be Trump."

AAAAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAAHAAAAAA.

She buried the lede, you FRenotard.

AAAAHAHAHAHAHAHAA!


14 posted on 09/09/2023 12:45:04 PM PDT by StAnDeliver (TrumpII)
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To: Reno89519

The impression I get, is that many people on Free Republic are not registered Republicans , because the Republican party is too liberal. Also quite a few Freepers complain that they have been registered Republicans, and have been constantly nagged to give money, and they don’t want to be on anyone’s list.


15 posted on 09/09/2023 12:47:44 PM PDT by Dilbert San Diego
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To: Reno89519
I am not a Republican by nature. I am a conservative nationalist and a STEM professional, which means I have no patience for the idiocy that prevails in the political world.

And to be said, we should point out that political affiliation means less today than it ever has before in my lifetime.

16 posted on 09/09/2023 12:48:26 PM PDT by Alberta's Child (“Freedom is just another word for nothing left to lose.”)
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To: StAnDeliver
Polls as the final indicator? Guess that means Joe Biden did win in 2020 and it's time to stop the whining about "stolen election."


17 posted on 09/09/2023 12:49:57 PM PDT by Trump20162020
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To: Reno89519

18 posted on 09/09/2023 12:50:31 PM PDT by Bobalu (The political prosecution of Donald Trump marks the official end of US democracy.)
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To: Reno89519

I am willing to put money behind my prediction.
$100 donation to FR by loser.

I am betting RDS will not be the nominee in 2024.
You taking the bet?


19 posted on 09/09/2023 12:54:07 PM PDT by entropy12 (Career politicians like Desantis build wealth. Trump sacrificed his wealth to serve people. GO TRUMP)
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To: Reno89519
It's absolutely over, just like the proxy war in Ukraine.

Only those don't want to face reality don't realize that.

What DeSantis backers don't grasp is that any Presidential aspirations he has are over going forward.

20 posted on 09/09/2023 1:02:36 PM PDT by Kazan
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