[Owen]

That is not how this works.

McCarthy did NOT bring this bill to the floor over the majority of his own caucus. He got a GOP majority by extracting Ukraine money.

The exact same reality will appear with any separate Ukraine money bill. It can’t go to the floor without majority GOP support or McCarthy would be passing it over the majority of his own caucus and that will lose him the Speakership.

This was somewhat masterful by McCarthy, but no one is going to change their mind and support Ukraine funding on the GOP side, and the Speakership is held by the GOP. He cannot go over the head of that majority.

This could end the war.

[Right_Wing_Madman]

no one is going to change their mind and support Ukraine funding on the GOP side

A critical turning point was the classified Ukraine brief the House and Senate received last week, just before Zelensky's DC visit. The general GOP response was, "WTF, I didn't know Ukraine was losing this bad."

Below is Josh Hawley's response to the briefing:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vVew6MC3-KE

"If there is some path to victory in Ukraine, I didn't hear it today. I also heard that there's going to be no end to the funding requests."

[Fury]

Re: 15 - good analysis, thanks. It seems a reasonable possible scenario.