Posted on 12/27/2023 5:37:43 PM PST by janetjanet998
Ho Nation
✖️
Lauren couldn’t win her home county of Garfield (she lost it by over 3,000 votes in 2022). She and her family are estranged so she can move somewhere else as she pleases.
I like her political positions. Unfortunately, she turned off her voters by her behavior. She demonstrated that she was not very smart. There are other conservatives out there who can bring more to the table intellectually and behave themselves a lot better. She would have lost the general election in the 3rd district in 2024, and probably would have lost the primary (assuming there was only one challenger in the GOP primary).
The 4th Congressional is far and away the most conservative district in Colorado, filled with many quality people who actually have a moral code in addition to constitutional conservatism and the ability to fight the battles before us.
“...people who actually have a moral code in addition to constitutional conservatism and the ability to fight the battles before us.”
Yeah, like Ken Buck. LOL.
Buck perhaps once-upon-a-time fit your description.
Until this year, when he spent a good portion of the time voting with Democrats and auditioning for MSNBC or CNN or whoever, for a job as their resident anti-conservative “conservative” after he petulantly decided to leave Congress.
Buck is a turncoat.
She’s switching to a sluttier district
Ms. Boebert would do well to put her own house in order, help take care of her kids, and give up the groping, vaping, the ridiculously obvious lying, and whoring lifestyle that reflects so poorly on the GOP and America's deliberative body.
What could she ever say that would convince GOPers that she knows how to behave, and vote responsibly, and how to live her life in a respectable fashion?
Boebert?
Dear good voting Citizens of Colorado. You can do much, much (much) better
2020 Boebert Bush total 2022 Boebert Frisky total loss in votes Mesa 55,437 30,576 89,427 Mesa 41,885 30,764 72,649 13,552 -188
Nearly 14,000 Mesa County Republicans "forgot" to turn out in a highly contested race in 2022.
Or there were some pretty full circular files at Mesa 2022 precincts, in the absence of Tina Peters...
I guess you might say they were "unstuffing" ballot boxes in Mesa, instead of stuffing them.
There was some hinky stuff going on in the 3rd CD.
Re: 23 - agreed. Also sounds like she is addicted to congressional cash and perks.
Bobert is popular for 2 reasons, and 2 perky reasons only.
I do agree with a lot of your assessments in your post #17, so we’re pretty much on the same page there.
So predictable.
???
"Gerrymandered" might not correctly describe what the redistricting commission did to CD-3. The new boundaries are clean and uncomplicated. "Dilution" might be a better term.
One only needs to look at CD-3 boundaries when Boebert was first elected. Pueblo was not included. Colorado did a "bipartisan" redrawing of district boundaries which removed low population areas from the north and added the city of Pueblo to the south-east.
I don't see how that made CD-3 "more Republican". Pueblo rather strongly tilts the results in favor of the Democrats. They do not need any fraud to win CD-3. Just lots of money for GOTV work. As you mentioned, they have lots of money. And a Republican "squish" is not going to win anywhere. That game is over. Too bad the Republicans refuse to understand that.
Nobody will vote for an imitation Democrat when they can have the real thing.
I am pleased that Boebert is still in the game. Ken Buck was a harmful deceiver. Any Republican who replaces him will be an improvement.
Colorado Ping ( Let me know if you wish to be added or removed from the list.)
Pueblo has been losing population since the steel mills shut down.
Here are the detailed results from 2020 (map and county data; the map uses colors the right way, where red = commie and blue = Republican):
2020 U.S. House Election Results for Colorado (District 03)
And here are the results from 2022 using the new map:
2022 U.S. House Election Results for Colorado (District 03)
Here are the demographics and historical results for CO-3, including the effects of every redistricting back to 1992. (Prior to 1992 the district was not configured similarly enough to the way it is now to make those comparisons relevant.)
Profile of Congressional District 3, Colorado
The partisan composition of the district -- not just voter registrations but HOW they vote -- has changed extremely little over the past 3 decades. In the most recent redistricting, it was moved about 1 point to the RIGHT.
From the data: Trump won 52.9% of the vote in 2020 in the current (2022) CD-3 precincts, up from 51.6% in the old (2020) CD-3 precincts. Biden's percentage dropped by a similar number. That's the way you evaluate how redistricting changed an area, and in this case it favored Republicans.
The bottom line is that Boebert is too "controversial" for the area and the Rats have made her target #1 in 2024 because (now that Santos is gone) it is their #1 easiest pickup among districts which have not been gerrymandered since 2022 (Alabama, etc.). Or at least it WAS their easiest pickup. Now it's going to be a little tougher than it would have been. Yes Fritsch has all the money, but the district's natural leanings may still come through with Boebert gone and all that money may not save his liberal-posing-as-a-phony-moderate ass.
The odds are still against Boebert in the primary in CO-4. The establishment will be all in to defeat her as it was in 2022 (and only narrowly failed) -- and don't forget that "independents" can vote in the primary without even having to re-register as Republicans. Her presence may have the effect of splitting the conservative vote in the primary and allowing a squish to sneak in there too. We'll find out next June.
I’m in southwest Colorado and the Boebert Derangement Syndrome is right up there with TDS. They’re hateful and sick bastards.
Thank you for posting your detailed and most careful research.
I see that I must revise my own opinions on the matter.
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