“That was Ukraine, with a few dozen obsolete planes and tanks.”
No, that was Ukraine ARMED and TRAINED by NATO, with many TOP LINE WEAPONS, and they got their assess kicked...and left Russia’s military scratching their heads wondering why they bothered to build up such strong lines.
Again, given the record of you guys, ANY predictions regarding Russia has about as much credibility as the British Media.
The only planes Ukraine has now (for now) are ex-Soviet leftovers, its own or whatever has been scrounged up from Eastern Europe.
The vast majority of Ukrainian tanks are similar ex-Soviet stuff.
There were about 80 modern western tanks actually delivered to date, including German, US and British types. There are @ another 100 obsolete western tanks. There are a total of 100 old model Bradleys, half of them apparently held for parts.
This is a war where this equipment is counted in the thousands, not dozens.