Trump will crush Biden in OH again with ease.
Despite the findings of this survey, Ohio has turned red enough in recent years that I doubt Biden will expend resources to seriously contest the race there. That was evident in 2022 when J.D. Vance dispatched Tim Ryan handily. Republicans should be able to flip the Senate seat in 2024 and rid the Senate of the despicable Sherrod Brown.
This being said, the results last week in Georgia are troubling. Georgia is a crucial swing state in 2024, and 15.5% of Georgia Republican voters did not vote for Trump in the GOP primary, even though every other GOP candidate had dropped out of the race. He should have carried 98% of the vote.
I’m no fan of Nikki Haley, but her point was valid when she said Trump now needs to earn the votes of those GOP primary voters who have not supported him to date. I’m not sure he can do that in Georgia. Brian Kemp won a tough gubernatorial race in 2022 going away. It would be ideal for Trump to ally himself with Kemp’s machine in Georgia, but instead he attempted to take Kemp out in the 2022 primary by running Perdue against him.
Trump has his MAGA base in Georgia, but there are also a significant number of Republicans and Independents who have no use for him. It remains to be seen if those voters can stomach voting for the corrupt and feeble Biden in November. If Trump were wise, he would act now to make peace with Kemp.