I really hate to say this but since the grand conspiracy (FBI, CIA, M-16, Clinton, Obama, etc.) to take out the legitimate Trump government, I have lost all confidence in the CIA to provide any intelligence that isn’t seriously biased and flawed. In my younger days I spent a few years in LE and looked up to both The FBI and CIA, having had some good interactions with them both - no more.
And they didn't warn us about the collapse of the Afghan Army during the Fall of Kabul. We did not even complete the withdrawal at this point. So what does that tell you?