It is certainly plausible and perhaps most often true that intoxicated young people who stumble out of bars in the wee hours and walk home, etc, near rivers sometimes fall in and quietly drown. What I was posting earlier was that some statistical anomalies caught some criminologists eye and the postulated that a serial killer or killers might be using this method of death by misadventure to cover for their giving intoxicated pedestrians a hard shove into rivers to likely drown. Don’t know what ever came of the speculation. I also surmise it came after a certain are experienced more of these than they ever should by chance.
“What I was posting earlier was that some statistical anomalies caught some criminologists eye and the postulated that a serial killer or killers might be using this method of death by misadventure to cover for their giving intoxicated pedestrians a hard shove into rivers to likely drown.”
The perfect murder, for murders sake.
There’s no CCTV, witnesses passers by... plus all of his contents were in his pockets so the only logical summation they can come up with, without a bruise or some other forensic discovery, is that he simply fell into the water while very intoxicated.
Occam’s razor. However, beginning in the 20th century, logic, pragmatism, and especially probability theory have become more popular among investigators.
In this particular case the forensics forced a focused hypothesis based on probability theory. In the event it was a sophomoric prank gone wrong, a guilt ridden conscience could produce a confession or an eyewitness to come forward at some point in the future.