Possible but unlikely, I’m out and about a lot and more than half the transplants who have migrated here are conservatives who were fleeing CA/NY and parts of the Midwest and are quite enthusiastic about keeping Texas as it is
“more than half the transplants who have migrated here are conservatives”
People claim that and make up numbers along those lines all the time. The next one which claims it with actual PROOF will be the first.
Unfortunately the fact — backed up by actual numbers — is that the areas in Texas which are being invaded the most are the ones which are trending LEFTward the fastest.
“the hispanic vote is trending to the right”
The rural Hispanic vote in Texas and some very isolated other areas like Imperial County, California is in fact trending to the right as of 2020.
However it is swamped by the urban Hispanic vote (both in Texas and nationwide), which is doing no such thing.