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From Nasa - --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Article Posted: July 23, 2002 Asteroid 2002 NT7 could hit in two decades; 2002 NY40 passes by August 17; and a large NEA search telescope is proposed.

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1.) NEAR-EARTH ASTEROID (NEA) 2002 NT7

A small NEA currently under observation has a remote possibility of hitting the Earth in 2019. The possibility will most likely be resolved within the next few days as new observations come in. It is reported here as an example of the sort of “detective work” associated with some of the newly discovered NEAs. (Assuming that you see nothing more posted here, you can assume that subsequent observations showed this object not to be a problem).

Comments from Maria E. Sansaturio and Giovanni V. Valsecchi

Asteroid 2002 NT7, a relatively large (H=16) Apollo with a still rather poorly determined orbit, has been on the Risk Pages of both NEODyS and JPL since July 18, as it is associated to a number of Virtual Impactors. With the shrinking of the uncertainty region due to the accumulation of astrometric observations, many of the VIs found associated with the initial, very uncertain, orbit have disappeared, as is normal in such cases. Of those that have survived until today, the one related to an Earth collision on 1 February 2019 has gone up in the Palermo Technical Scale, reaching the value of +0.18, according to the computations made in Pisa. This means that, for the first time, the probability of a specific impact of a Near-Earth Asteroid turns out to be larger than that of the "background".

The asteroid is easily observable; in fact it is observed practically every night, and its visibility will remain very good for the coming two months. As new observations come in, the situation will evolve in the next days and, as usual, either the probability associated with this VI will go up somewhat, or, more probably, it will disappear.

1 posted on 07/24/2002 6:22:08 AM PDT by In Search of Freedom
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To: In Search of Freedom
So...party at my house, Jan. 31, 2019. You're all invited.
2 posted on 07/24/2002 6:28:00 AM PDT by Viva Le Dissention
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To: In Search of Freedom
So much for the stock market recovering by 2019 !
3 posted on 07/24/2002 6:33:57 AM PDT by GnL
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To: In Search of Freedom
Which continent? That might make a difference in my attitude. ;-)
4 posted on 07/24/2002 6:38:43 AM PDT by Dog Gone
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To: In Search of Freedom
We'll just turn all our Marshalls up to 11 and jam "Space Truckin'".
5 posted on 07/24/2002 6:40:19 AM PDT by FreedomFarmer
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To: In Search of Freedom
Dr Yeomans said the world would have to get used to finding more objects like NT7 that, on discovery, look threatening, but then become harmless.

The larger problem might be one that appears harmless, then suddenly becomes a threat. To the unprepared.

6 posted on 07/24/2002 6:40:47 AM PDT by He Rides A White Horse
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To: In Search of Freedom
Does that mean the sky actually IS falling?
7 posted on 07/24/2002 6:42:53 AM PDT by WindMinstrel
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To: In Search of Freedom
The picture they included with the article is a bit of an exaggeration given that the object in question is "only" two kilometers wide. The one in the picture must be hundreds of miles wide.
8 posted on 07/24/2002 6:44:20 AM PDT by WillVoteForFood
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To: In Search of Freedom
"rating on the so-called Palermo technical scale of threat of 0.06"

Cool. I didn't even know that there was a "Palermo" Technical Scale of Threat. But what is 0.06? What if utter certainty is 0.10?

13 posted on 07/24/2002 7:22:37 AM PDT by robertpaulsen
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To: In Search of Freedom
I believe the good "Dr."(?) as much as this illusion of the asteroid striking the earth.

Alledged asteroid is 2 killometers around?

Rather overblown in the artists rendering, wouldn't you say?

Much like this article.

Hey honey, what's for dinner?

16 posted on 07/24/2002 7:38:08 AM PDT by G.Mason
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To: In Search of Freedom
more objects like NT7 that, on discovery, look threatening, but then become harmless.

"This is because the problem of Near-Earth Objects is now being properly addressed," he said.

I must have missed it. How is the problem being addressed?

Probably by raising taxes and outlawing SUVs or something equally useful.

17 posted on 07/24/2002 7:38:37 AM PDT by ProudGOP
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To: In Search of Freedom
There seem to have been a lot of these lately. I've started making them down in my planner, there is a NEA due in 2022, and 2028 as well as this one.

I think someone is giving us a shot across the bow.
18 posted on 07/24/2002 7:39:40 AM PDT by Grig
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just a bttt.
Asteroids: Deadly Impact Shoemaker by Levy Restless Earth Collection
Asteroids:
Deadly Impact

National Geographic
Shoemaker:
The Man Who Made An Impact

by David H. Levy
Restless Earth Collection
National Geographic

20 posted on 11/10/2004 9:43:55 PM PST by SunkenCiv ("All I have seen teaches me trust the Creator for all I have not seen." -- Emerson)
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To: In Search of Freedom

Is Dr. Whitehouse sure that this asteroid is not named "Wormwood?"


21 posted on 11/10/2004 9:56:48 PM PST by nightdriver
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