[Lurking2Long]

Bookies tied to mob tied to Democrats tied to voter fraud.

Not hard to predict the outcome!

[hoot2]

sorry rushbo...
they're very wrong on this one.
even if they had the money;
dem's couldn't buy a seat this time...

[Mr. Bird]

Isn't there a flaw in the market's prediction of overall control? Seems to me that it is sort of like betting Black or Red on a roulette wheel. Wouldn't a more accurate market-based prediction come out of an analysis of the individual race futures rather than what can only be a guess as the overall outcome? For example, which party has more candidates with higher futures than their opponents?

[TomT in NJ]

I've been following that price chart for the past few weeks too.

I'm not clear as to what event(s) could have caused the spike in the Dem's odds (other than Wellstone's death). I hate to sound like a conspiracy-nut, but I wouldn't put it past the RATs to rig this "electronic market" by bidding up their favorite scenarios and then getting the media to report on the trend.

[ffrancone]

IN 5 DAYS, THEY'LL BE VOTING DEMOCRAT

WHAT ARE YOU DOING TODAY TO HELP TAKE BACK THE SENATE?

TakeBackCongress.org

A resource for conservatives who want a Republican majority in the Senate

[The Vast Right Wing]

Unlike the presidential election, where a lot of people participate in the market, in the congressional races not much liquidity/participation. This suggests that the prices might not be a real good predictor.

[no dems]

Well, the odds are in our favor for an upset in their predictions this time around. I think they're wrong. I really believe the GOP will have a one seat majority in the Senate. The only concern I have is that Chaffee idiot in RI talking about switching if the pubbies do take the Senate back.

[kylaka]

ElRushbo (Limbaugh) tossed out an interesting statistic yesterday. W has the highest approval rating of any president going into the midterm elections of any president since they began compiling approval ratings (66%). The next highest is Dwight Eisenhower in 1954 (60%) which is the last time the Republicans gained a majority in both the House and the Senate.