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Experts Warn of Iraq's Improved Weapons
Assoc. Press ^ | 12/27/02 | MATT KELLEY

Posted on 12/27/2002 6:59:08 PM PST by Ranger

WASHINGTON (AP) -

Biological weapons are among the few capabilities Iraq has improved since being defeated by a U.S.-led coalition in the 1991 Persian Gulf War, government officials say.

Working under the noses of U.N. inspectors from 1991 to 1998, President Saddam Hussein's government probably developed mobile germ warfare labs and processes to create dried bacteria for deadlier and longer-lasting weapons, U.S. officials and former weapons inspectors say.

Pentagon officials say Iraq's biological arsenal could do the most damage, physical and psychological, if it were used to retaliate immediately against a U.S. invasion rather than in later stages of battle.

Although U.S. troops are being vaccinated against anthrax and smallpox and have protective gear, a biological attack cannot be detected until after exposure. Even if a biological attack did not kill U.S. troops, it could kill many civilians and create a logistical mess that would slow an American advance and strain the military's medical capabilities.

"The most frightening thing is Iraq's biological program," said David Kay, a former chief weapons inspector for the United Nations. "Even in my inspection days, it was the program we knew the least about."

What inspectors eventually learned was disturbing. After the 1995 defection of Saddam's son-in-law, who ran the germ weapons program, Iraq acknowledged brewing thousands of gallons of deadly germs and toxins and loading some of them in bombs, missile warheads and rockets.

The weapons included anthrax, the germ that killed seven people in last year's U.S. mail attacks; botulinum toxin, nature's most deadly poison; Clostridium perfringens, a flesh-eating bacterium that causes gas gangrene; and aflatoxin, a fungal poison that causes liver cancer.

In late 1998, frustrated by Iraq's refusal to cooperate, the inspectors withdrew shortly before the United States and Britain began "Operation Desert Fox," a bombing campaign to compel compliance by Iraq. Saddam refused to let the inspectors return.

Iraq claimed it destroyed all its biological weapons. U.N. inspectors concluded in 1999 that probably was a lie, because Saddam's scientists could have made thousands of gallons of biological weapons without declaring them. U.S. officials say Iraq's latest weapons declaration does not clear up discrepancies.

"Before the inspectors were forced to leave Iraq, they concluded that Iraq could have produced 26,000 liters of anthrax. That is three times the amount Iraq had declared," Secretary of State Colin Powell said recently. "Yet the Iraqi declaration is silent on this stockpile, which alone would be enough to kill several million people."

The omissions, U.S. officials and former inspectors say, are strong evidence that Iraq has retained at least some of its biological arsenal.

Iraq's development of anthrax-drying technology makes that arsenal even more dangerous than it was during the Gulf War. Its earlier biological weapons efforts relied on a liquid slurry of anthrax, which let the spores clump together and made it difficult to get the fine aerosol needed to get the germs into people's lungs.

U.N. inspectors in the late 1990s found Iraq had drying machines that could be used to make a powdered form of anthrax.

The Iraqis claimed they were making a biological pesticide from a worm-killing bacteria known as BT, said former inspector Jonathan Tucker. But they were making particles so small they would float through the air, not settle onto crops like a biopesticide should, Tucker said. Inspectors believed Iraq was using BT, a relative of the anthrax germ, as a testing stand-in for anthrax, Tucker said.

Evidence also suggested that Iraq was experimenting with drying anthrax in combination with bentonite, a compound that would help the anthrax particles stay aloft. Iraq also has imported hundreds of tons of fumed silicon dioxide, another substance that would give anthrax an aerosol quality.

Dried anthrax is easier to disperse as a weapon, easier to get into a target's lungs and lasts longer in storage, Tucker and another former U.N. inspector, Richard Spertzel, said. Particles small enough could penetrate even the U.S. military's protective gear.

"Quite clearly, Iraq knew exactly what needed to be done," Spertzel said. "Their contract with the spray dryer company showed they knew what to go for and how to do it."

Although U.S. troops are inoculated against anthrax, a high enough concentration of anthrax spores still could make them sick, Tucker said.

"If you're exposed to a massive dose, it could overwhelm a vaccination," said Tucker, a senior fellow at the U.S. Institute of Peace.

Iraq has missiles that could carry biological weapons to Israel, Kuwait or U.S. troop concentrations within Iraq, Pentagon officials say.

Iraq also has experimented with turning small jet airplanes into remote-controlled drones. U.S. officials fear those drones could be fitted with spray tanks to deliver biological weapons.

"Iraq developed these drones because I think they realized their air force wouldn't be flying long if there was a war," Tucker said.

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On the Net: CIA's Iraq page: http://www.cia.gov/cia/publications/factbook/geos/iz.html

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TOPICS: Anthrax Scare; Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: anthrax; anthraxscarelist; biowarfare; iraq; prewarintelligence; warlist
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To: Chapita
Ping me when the war starts. We'll watch together, when I can break away from watching with my husband who loves bombing Saddam.
21 posted on 12/28/2002 3:45:20 AM PST by patriciaruth
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To: patriciaruth
The war started a couple of months ago!
22 posted on 12/28/2002 3:55:25 AM PST by Chapita
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To: Chapita
Have you been reading Debka?
23 posted on 12/28/2002 4:31:47 AM PST by patriciaruth
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To: patriciaruth
The war in Europe did not begin on D-Day. This war has indeed begun. Dubya and Congress have declared war, our preparatory operations for invasion are underway, and I agree with the other posters that this preparation indeed constitutes part of our war. The invasion has probably not yet truly begun, but I certainly would not dispute anyone who said we have Special Ops forces engaged in Iraq already. It is certainly true that "softening-up" bombing of selected targets has been taking place.
24 posted on 12/28/2002 5:48:37 AM PST by AFPhys
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To: *war_list
bump
25 posted on 12/28/2002 10:43:03 AM PST by The Obstinate Insomniac
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To: patriciaruth
If Saddam gets nukes he will hold Israel and others hostage as he does whatever. We cannot let this happen.

Look at N. Korea! They have just got started with their skulduggery.

26 posted on 12/28/2002 10:47:00 AM PST by Cold Heat
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To: Ranger

Wired / Courtesy U.S. Air Force

27 posted on 12/28/2002 10:56:32 AM PST by dighton
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To: Chapita
I am very curious as to how Dubya will react.

FWIW, I'm hearing sometime in Feb is D-Day. But my thinking is that is a leak Bush wants Saddam to believe so I would say anytime now. They're talking aircraft carriers heading to the region but I don't think they are needed for the first assualt. War is deception.
28 posted on 12/28/2002 11:17:25 AM PST by jwh_Denver
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To: wirestripper

29 posted on 12/28/2002 11:41:13 AM PST by Kay Soze
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To: *Anthrax_Scare_List; aristeides; thinden; honway; Ernest_at_the_Beach
I wonder if the 5 guys the FBI is looking for are related to this...
30 posted on 12/30/2002 1:03:20 AM PST by Lion's Cub
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To: Lion's Cub

"This is next"

31 posted on 12/30/2002 4:27:37 AM PST by honway
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To: Lion's Cub
http://www.fotw.ca/flags/iq.html

Iraq National Flag

Description: Horizontally divided red-white-black flag with three green stars and the takbir in green placed horizontally in the white strip.

The takbir [Allah Akbar (God is great) in Arabic script] in green was added to the 1963 flag during the Gulf War, 13 January1991

"Allah is Great" appears on both the Iraqi flag and the three anthrax letters.

32 posted on 12/30/2002 4:36:57 AM PST by honway
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To: Ranger; okie01; Shermy
Please see replies #31 and #32
33 posted on 12/30/2002 4:39:35 AM PST by honway
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To: honway
Thanks. I don't think I've seen the 3 letters together for comparison before. Its interesting. Its pretty clear they came from the same hand. Whether that was the hand of Saddam's minions, I less certain.
34 posted on 12/30/2002 7:17:16 AM PST by Ranger
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