[creepycrawly]

Thanks.

[Mr. Silverback]

I'm sure Josh has a good link, but I searched FR on ARG and found this stuff.

This ARG poll released on 10/25/2000 and this ARG poll three days before the election both had Gore winning Florida by 4 points.

This is a SWAG, but since they predicted a pretty solid Gore win and the state went even with a large number of panhandle voters staying home, I'd say that means that this time Dubya is up by at least 5 points.