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Is This It?
Townhall.com ^ | October 9, 2008 | George Will

Posted on 10/09/2008 5:25:55 AM PDT by Kaslin

WASHINGTON -- Time was, the Baltimore Orioles manager was Earl Weaver, a short, irascible, Napoleonic figure who, when cranky, as he frequently was, would shout at an umpire, "Are you going to get any better or is this it?" With, mercifully, only one debate to go, that is the question about John McCain's campaign.

In the closing days of his 10-year quest for the presidency, McCain finds it galling that Barack Obama is winning the first serious campaign he has ever run against a Republican. Before Tuesday night's uneventful event, gall was fueling what might be the McCain-Palin campaign's closing argument. It is less that Obama has bad ideas than that Obama is a bad person.

This, McCain and his female Sancho Panza say, is demonstrated by bad associations Obama had in Chicago, such as with William Ayers, the unrepentant terrorist. But the McCain-Palin charges have come just as the Obama campaign is benefiting from a mass mailing it is not paying for. Many millions of American households are gingerly opening envelopes containing reports of the third-quarter losses in their 401(k) and other retirement accounts -- telling each household its portion of the nearly $2 trillion that Americans' accounts have recently shed. In this context, the McCain-Palin campaign's attempt to get Americans to focus on Obama's Chicago associations seem surreal -- or, as a British politician once said about criticism he was receiving, "like being savaged by a dead sheep."

Recently Obama noted -- perhaps to torment and provoke conservatives -- that McCain's rhetoric about Wall Street's "greed" and "casino culture" amounted to "talking like Jesse Jackson." What fun: one African-American Chicago politician distancing himself from another African-American Chicago politician by associating McCain with him.

After their enjoyable 2006 congressional elections, Democrats eagerly anticipated that 2008 would provide a second election in which a chaotic Iraq would be at the center of voters' minds. Today they are glad that has not happened. The success of the surge in Iraq, for which McCain justly claims much credit, is one reason why foreign policy has receded to the margins of the electorate's mind, thereby diminishing the subject with which McCain is most comfortable and which is Obama's largest vulnerability.

Tuesday night, McCain, seeking traction in inhospitable economic terrain, said that the $700 billion -- perhaps it is $800 billion, or more; one loses track of this fast-moving target -- bailout plan is too small. He proposes several hundred billions more for his American Homeownership Resurgence -- you cannot have too many surges -- Plan. Under it, the government would buy mortgages that homeowners cannot -- or perhaps would just rather not -- pay, and replace them with cheaper ones. When he proposed this, conservatives participating in MSNBC's "dial group" wrenched their dials in a wrist-spraining spasm of disapproval.

Still, it may be politically prudent for McCain to throw caution, and billions, to the wind. Obama is competitive in so many states that President Bush carried in 2004 -- including Florida, North Carolina, Virginia, Ohio, Indiana, Iowa, Colorado and New Mexico -- it is not eccentric to think he could win at least 350 of the 538 electoral votes.

If that seems startling, that is only because the 2000 and 2004 elections were won with 271 and 286, respectively. In the 25 elections 1900-1996, the winners averaged 402.6. This, even though the 1900 and 1904 elections -- before Arizona, New Mexico and Oklahoma attained statehood, and before the size of the House was fixed at 435 members in 1911 -- allocated only 447 and 476 electoral votes, respectively. The 12 elections from 1912 through 1956, before Hawaiian and Alaskan statehood, allocated only 531.

In the 25 twentieth-century elections, only three candidates won with fewer than 300 -- McKinley with 292 in 1900, Wilson with 277 in 1916 and Carter with 297 in 1976. President Harry Truman won 303 in 1948 even though Strom Thurmond's Dixiecrat candidacy won 39 that otherwise would have gone to Truman. After John Kennedy won in 1960 with just 303, the average winning total in the next nine elections, up to the 2000 cliffhanger, was 421.4.

In 1987, on the eve of Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher's third victory, the head of her Conservative Party told a visiting columnist: "Someday, Labour will win an election. Our job is to hold on until they are sane." Republicans, winners of seven of the last 10 presidential elections, had better hope they have held on long enough.


TOPICS: Editorial; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2008; georgewill; mccain; obama
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1 posted on 10/09/2008 5:25:55 AM PDT by Kaslin
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To: Kaslin

McCain is not the problem. The problem is that he has to sail into the face of a steady and fierce headwind created by the bias of the media.


2 posted on 10/09/2008 5:33:42 AM PDT by tentmaker
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To: Kaslin

George Will, in reality, is an Obama supporter.

His association with ABC News has thoroughly distorted his former conservative views. He uses his “conservative credentials” as a bludgeon against anything that isn’t “pure” conservatism, and in that way he surreptitiously advances a socialist agenda.

This is the George Will of the last decade, and anyone who hasn’t noticed it is not paying attention.


3 posted on 10/09/2008 5:34:29 AM PDT by xzins (Retired Army Chaplain Pro Deo et Patria)
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To: xzins

I think Krauthammer is an Obama supporter also. What do both of these writers have in common....ELITISM and HUMORLESS.


4 posted on 10/09/2008 5:38:11 AM PDT by Ann Archy (AbortiDUH!!!on.....The Human Sacrifice to the god of Convenience.)
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To: tentmaker

“...headwind created by the bias of the media...”

Any legal eagles out there? Answer me this: In the absence of a ‘fairness doctrine’ for broadcast TV, is there any basis for an FCC license challenge?

The ‘Big 3’ have become nothing but a propaganda arm of the democrat party.

The public are not being served!


Yeah it is off topic, but a valid question


5 posted on 10/09/2008 5:39:01 AM PDT by Islander7 (The only thing Obama has to fear is the truth!)
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To: xzins

Spot on. He’s just a quasi conservative elitist that uses big words.


6 posted on 10/09/2008 5:39:59 AM PDT by refermech
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To: Ann Archy

You can add David Brooks to that list too.


7 posted on 10/09/2008 5:41:01 AM PDT by refermech
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To: Kaslin

Personally, I don’t give a rat’s rear about McCain’s economic policies (and personally, government should deregulate as much as possible and let markets work) and this whole mess we’re undergoing was brought on by mainly Democratic efforts to put unqualified buyers into homes of their own. However anyone who thinks B Hussein Obama would be better for the economy is insane. Further, the choice is clearly between someone who actually loves and has served his country, and a cipher who, judging by his associations, hates it (and his BU wife too!).


8 posted on 10/09/2008 5:43:47 AM PDT by Rummyfan (Iraq: it's not about Iraq anymore, it's about the USA!)
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To: tentmaker

“McCain is not the problem. The problem is that he has to sail into the face of a steady and fierce headwind created by the bias of the media.”

And the refusal of President Bush to ever explain or defend himself, and the Republican Congress—to this day—refusing to take credit for its achievements.

Why won’t the House Republicans publicize their stunning victory on drilling?

Wouldn’t it be great if all Repubs were like Palin and McCotter?

My dream ticket for 2012 or 2016.


9 posted on 10/09/2008 5:43:57 AM PDT by Thomas W.
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To: Kaslin

George: Enough with the “pithy” baseball allegories.


10 posted on 10/09/2008 5:45:45 AM PDT by Cedric
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To: Ann Archy
Krauthammer

Krauthammer was spot on in this election until Palin was selcted, and that somehow has totally changed his views. I am not sure if he is for Obama or not, because he is on record saying some pretty bad things about an Obama presidency. There is a video out there where he makes a strong case why Obama cannot be CIC. That said, he doesn't sound like that recently. It is bothersome because he is usually so spot on. I think the Palin nomination has really gotten under the skin of a lot of longstanding 'conservative' inside the beltway people that did not get one of their own on the ticket.

11 posted on 10/09/2008 5:46:26 AM PDT by ilgipper
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To: Kaslin
With friends like George Will..........

I just wish these effete elites would just STFU. I am so sick and tired of their pontificating.

12 posted on 10/09/2008 5:46:45 AM PDT by SW6906 (6 things you can't have too much of: sex, money, firewood, horsepower, guns and ammunition.)
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To: ilgipper

Maybe Sarah reminds Krauthammer of a woman who got away or cheated on him.....he DETESTS her.....not normal.


13 posted on 10/09/2008 5:50:00 AM PDT by Ann Archy (AbortiDUH!!!on.....The Human Sacrifice to the god of Convenience.)
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To: Ann Archy
I am not a McCain supporter, however ...

"McCain and his female Sancho Panza ..."

proves your point. The beltway mentality is certainly full of humorless elitists.

14 posted on 10/09/2008 5:54:49 AM PDT by ImpBill (Proud little "r" republican!)
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To: Kaslin
Boy the east coast pseudo intellectuals are all jumping ship. Let's pray the real ‘Joe Six-pack” people show them to be wrong.
15 posted on 10/09/2008 5:56:53 AM PDT by McGruff (Sarah. We crave red meat. Red meat!)
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To: ImpBill

WHO said that??? OMG. PDS.


16 posted on 10/09/2008 5:57:42 AM PDT by Ann Archy (AbortiDUH!!!on.....The Human Sacrifice to the god of Convenience.)
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To: Kaslin

George Will should have retired in 1999.

What pompous elite a$$hole he has become.


17 posted on 10/09/2008 5:59:48 AM PDT by Grampa Dave ( I do not want to know the type of person, who does not like Sarah !)
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To: Ann Archy
Like George Will is the only one to have read Don Quixote?

Will with his comparison of Gov. Palin to Sancho Panza is as bad as the rest of the elitists in the Beltway when it comes to "witty" tasteless jabs at Mrs. Palin.

18 posted on 10/09/2008 6:03:01 AM PDT by ImpBill (Proud little "r" republican!)
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To: xzins

So, just because he criticizes the sorriest Republican nomination in history, George Will is an Obama supporter?

It’s really a sad day for the Republicans when you’re defending McCain against George Will.


19 posted on 10/09/2008 6:13:00 AM PDT by demshateGod (the GOP is dead to me)
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To: Ann Archy

It is not possible to be pro-abortion and be a conservative. Krauthammer is pro-abortion.


20 posted on 10/09/2008 6:16:18 AM PDT by xzins (Retired Army Chaplain Pro Deo et Patria)
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