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Polls show Obama with clear lead in Virginia
AP ^ | Monday, October 27, 2008

Posted on 10/27/2008 2:26:05 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican

THE POLL: Virginia Commonwealth University, presidential race in Virginia among likely voters (13 electoral votes).

THE NUMBERS: Barack Obama 51 percent, John McCain 40 percent.

OF INTEREST: Obama's strongest regions are northern Virginia and Hampton Roads, the latter dominated by military interests where McCain, a former Navy pilot, should be strong. Obama dominated among respondents who regarded the economy and health care as the most important issues. McCain was strong among people whose foremost concern was terrorism.

THE DETAILS: Conducted by telephone Oct. 20-22 by VCU's Center for Public Policy of 817 likely voters. The margin of sampling error plus or minus 4 percentage points.

___

THE POLL: Washington Post, presidential race in Virginia among likely voters.

THE NUMBERS: Barack Obama 52 percent, John McCain 44 percent.

OF INTEREST: A month ago, the same poll showed that 52 percent felt McCain was best suited to handle the campaign against terrorism, 10 points better than Obama. Now, the poll shows that Obama has drawn almost even with McCain on the terrorism issue.

THE DETAILS: Conducted by telephone Oct. 22-25 among 784 likely voters. The margin of sampling error plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.

(Excerpt) Read more at ap.google.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Virginia
KEYWORDS: 2008polls; leftwingconspiracy; mccain; obama; palin; sillystudents; studentsurveys; va2008
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To: MinorityRepublican

I hope members of the military whoe are inclined to vote for Obama change their minds after hearing Barney Frank talk about a 25% cut in military spending. The Dems will gut the military like they did under Jimmy Carter. Go McCain.


61 posted on 10/27/2008 2:53:50 PM PDT by freedom4me (No compromise w/ the main purpose, no peace till victory, no pact w/ unrepentant wrong. --Churchill)
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To: kingattax

pure marxist crapaganda. a half-brained rhesus monkey can see thru this garbage.

which explains fully why the DU can’t..:)


62 posted on 10/27/2008 2:54:03 PM PDT by GeorgiaDawg32 (I'm a Patriot Guard Rider. www.patriotguard.org for info. MAVERICK/BARRACUDA '08)
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To: MinorityRepublican

It’s really sad that people who are voting for Obama really believe his loyality lies with them. Not true. It is a myth. Just because they are loyal to him doesn’t mean he is loyal to them. Unfortutunately; this is a scam being played over and over throughout history.

Once the election is over; most of these people are no longer relevant. They will be just like everyone else including the opposition in Obama’s eyes.

If they don’t believe, all they have to do is read about Mao, Pol Pot, Stalin Castro and anyone that has ever lived in an opressed society. People like Obama don’t serve. They control. If you value your real freedom; think about not voting for Obama. Slavery will become a real reality.


63 posted on 10/27/2008 2:54:38 PM PDT by freekitty (Give me back my conservative vote.)
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To: NetSurfer
Bravo Sierra

or:


64 posted on 10/27/2008 2:57:43 PM PDT by Yankee
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To: DarthVader

Hey, you’re the pro. I’m not saying these polls are right - I hope not. But I don’t think it’s the sample size but probably the sample weighting.


65 posted on 10/27/2008 2:57:45 PM PDT by Norman Bates (Freepmail me to be part of the McCain List!)
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To: DYngbld
I'm between Lynchburg & Danville. There seems to be a very obvious lack of signs around here. All the houses that had Gore, Kerry, Webb have NO signs at all this year.

This is Jerry Falwell territory with Liberty University. I'm pretty sure it will vote McCain/Palin. We're 5th & 6th Districts with Goode & Goodlatte...both against the bailout both times and were with the gang in the House to demand the up or down vote on energy when the lights were out. Good men both.

66 posted on 10/27/2008 3:00:01 PM PDT by KriegerGeist (I'm now considered a "Bitter Clinger" to my guns and religion.)
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To: Perdogg

289 (D) 250 (R) 320 (I)

so really it is more like:

609 (D) 250 (R)


67 posted on 10/27/2008 3:00:01 PM PDT by Big Guy and Rusty 99 (If Benito Mussolini was IL DUCE, Barack Obama is ILL DOUCHE!)
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To: GOP_Party_Animal; wolf24
So we are actually talking a 24% turnaround based on the polls? Puh-lease.

Now, the internal of this poll actually shows Obama getting 95% of the black vote. This is only the second of six polls I have seen with racial breakdowns where Obama equals or exceeds Kerry's 2004 89% number.

68 posted on 10/27/2008 3:00:25 PM PDT by LS ("Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually." (Hendrix))
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To: puroresu; moose2004

Got is. So the discrepancy is beyond unbelievable.


69 posted on 10/27/2008 3:01:11 PM PDT by LS ("Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually." (Hendrix))
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To: Norman Bates

Weighting has a lot to do with the size which is what I just said. The smaller the sample with multiple factors the less confidence you have with the weighting. These samples are within the 10-15% margin of error and not a very accurate as they are low precision.


70 posted on 10/27/2008 3:01:38 PM PDT by DarthVader (Liberal Democrats are the party of EVIL whose time of judgment has come.)
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To: LS

Bush won Virginia by over 8 points in 2004


71 posted on 10/27/2008 3:02:33 PM PDT by Katonah1980 ( toss up.)
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To: KriegerGeist
. . . if they're not disenfranchised.

Pray that they are not.

72 posted on 10/27/2008 3:06:00 PM PDT by MrChips (MrChips)
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To: MinorityRepublican

this is a useless poll. plus 7 democrats?


73 posted on 10/27/2008 3:06:03 PM PDT by Katonah1980 ( toss up.)
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To: Katonah1980

Ok, ok, ok. Fifth poster to make that point. I get it.


74 posted on 10/27/2008 3:06:16 PM PDT by LS ("Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually." (Hendrix))
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To: LS

Bush won Colorado by 7 in 2004. However in 2006, Ritter (D) won with 55 percent despite being embroiled in an illegal alien controversy. Polling in Colorado shows a strong rat trend. I think Colorado may have gone left coast. I hope that I am wrong but the 2006 result suggests otherwise. The rats can do no wrong. No matter how clearly rat fingerprints are on the current economic mess, the public blames Bush.


75 posted on 10/27/2008 3:09:33 PM PDT by businessprofessor
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To: LS

You get it! You get it! ;-)

These polls better not be accurate though.


76 posted on 10/27/2008 3:09:43 PM PDT by Norman Bates (Freepmail me to be part of the McCain List!)
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To: freedom4me

Yep with President Obama and the supermajority in the Senate, they will cut the military by 25% at mininum and probably even more in order to paty for new welfare programs he’s currently advocating for.


77 posted on 10/27/2008 3:10:12 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican
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To: MinorityRepublican
Obama's strongest regions are northern Virginia and Hampton Roads, the latter dominated by military interests where McCain, a former Navy pilot, should be strong.

Re Hampton Roads: Norfolk is 45% black, Portsmouth 50% black and Chesapeake 30% black.

Obama probably will win Hampton Roads.

78 posted on 10/27/2008 3:10:38 PM PDT by Swing_Thought
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To: Swing_Thought

Doesn’t that mean these areas aren’t as key as they are being made out?


79 posted on 10/27/2008 3:12:26 PM PDT by Norman Bates (Freepmail me to be part of the McCain List!)
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To: Swing_Thought
Additional, re Hampton Roads: Newport news is 40% black, Hampton 45%, Suffolk 44%. Virginia Beach, the largest Hampton Roads city by population is 19% black. Hampton Roads will go Obama. Stats Here
80 posted on 10/27/2008 3:15:11 PM PDT by Swing_Thought
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