Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Antarctic Warming: Another Mann-made Climate Change, Says SPPI
TransWorldNews ^ | 1/26/2009 | NA

Posted on 01/27/2009 8:46:52 PM PST by neverdem

The growth in the area of the Southern Ocean covered by sea ice over the past 30 years disproves a new theory based on computer modelling of invented temperatures that suggests the Antarctic has been warming over the past 50 years, says a new paper published today by the Science and Public Policy Institute – a Washington, D.C. research organization.

A recent paper in Nature has suggested that the Antarctic had not been cooling for half a century, though temperature measurements taken by research stations on the ice-bound continent had long shown cooling.

Christopher Monckton, the paper's author, said: "The Arctic has been warming, and there has been some loss of sea ice there, particularly in recent summers. This demonstrates the unsurprising real-world conclusion that warming melts ice. If there had been warming in Antarctica too, the area of the Southern Ocean covered by sea ice would have shrunk over the 30 years since the satellites have been watching. Instead, the extent of Antarctic sea ice has grown – and it has grown fast enough to match the decline in the extent of Arctic sea ice. That means the Arctic has been warming and the Antarctic has been cooling."

One of the authors of the paper suggesting "warming" of the Antarctic was Michael E. Mann of Pennsylvania State University. Dr. Mann had been the lead author of a paper also published in Nature in 1998-9, in which similar purely statistical techniques had been used to alter the temperature record. On that occasion, Dr. Mann purported to abolish the medieval warm period, when temperatures worldwide were warmer than the present. Now, he and his colleagues are attempting to abolish the cooling of Antarctica, which, like the medieval warming, suggests that the official "global warming" theory has some large gaps in it.

"Finally," said Monckton, "there has been a global cooling trend throughout the eight years of George Bush's presidency, though most media have somehow not reported the cooling. It would be remarkable if Antarctica, where the thermometers show temperatures plunging, had somehow bucked the global trend towards cooler weather."

Added an actual Antarctic researcher, "I feel your study is absolutely wrong.  With statistics you can make numbers go to almost any conclusion you want. It saddens me to see members of the scientific community do this for media coverage."

The paper can be accessed here:  http://scienceandpublicpolicy.org/monckton/monckton_man_made.html

 

Contact:  Robert Ferguson, Science and Public Policy Institute

202-288-5699   


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Culture/Society; Front Page News; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: agw; antarcticwarming; catastrophism; climatechange; globalwanking; globalwarming
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-23 next last
"Warming freezes the Southern Ocean,"Another Mann-made Climate Change

http://scienceandpublicpolicy.org/images/stories/papers/monckton/monckton_man_made.pdf

For the Full Report in PDF Form, please click here. (above)

[Illustrations, footnotes and references available in PDF version]

In late January 2009, the once-respected “science” journal Nature published the results of a computer model apparently showing that nearly all of the Antarctic continent had not cooled over the past 50 years, as the real-world observational data showed, but had warmed instead. The newly-created “warming” was achieved not by direct observation, which has long produced inconvenient cooling, but by “statistical climate-field-reconstruction techniques to obtain a 50-year-long, spatially complete estimate of monthly Antarctic temperature anomalies.”

The authors used “the special covariance structure of the surface temperature field to guide interpolation of the ... records of ... temperature from occupied weather stations,” on the ground that, “although it has been suggested that such interpolation is unreliable owing to the distances involved, large spatial scales are not inherently problematic if there is high spatial coherence, as is the case in continental Antarctica.”

The “reconstructions” were said to “demonstrate” warming of 0.17 °C/decade over the past 50 years in West Antarctica, 0.10 in East Antarctica and 0.12 continent-wide; however, their own analysis, when tested against detrended data, found that the continent-wide warming was not demonstrably different from zero.

The international alarmist movement swung swiftly and expensively into action, actively supported by the more scientifically-illiterate news media, to say that the “warming” of Antarctica, illustrated in the widely-reproduced “before-and-after” images above, “proved” that “global warming” was truly global after all. The usual solemn warnings about the need for urgent and costly action to close down the economies of the West were added.

For full paper, see pdf.

1 posted on 01/27/2009 8:46:52 PM PST by neverdem
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: neverdem

short version... they didn’t have enough data for 50 years, so they made it up.


2 posted on 01/27/2009 8:52:44 PM PST by stylin19a (I listen to the voices in my golf bag)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: neverdem

i don’t think people are that important.


3 posted on 01/27/2009 8:57:56 PM PST by ken21 (the only thing we have to fear is fdr deja vu.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: ken21

in the scheme of things.


4 posted on 01/27/2009 8:58:27 PM PST by ken21 (the only thing we have to fear is fdr deja vu.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: stylin19a

Probably operating under Rather Rules:

“Fake, but accurate”


5 posted on 01/27/2009 8:58:31 PM PST by bigbob
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: stylin19a

Ever notice how much of this “data” and “research” involving temperatures is just pure BS created by the “global warmers?” These people need to be arrested for their participation in this scam and hoax.


6 posted on 01/27/2009 8:59:05 PM PST by FlingWingFlyer (I wish it was 20 January 2013. I've had enough of this crap already.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: neverdem

The parts of Antarctica that have experienced measurable warming are the same parts of Antarctica that have been experiencing volcanic activity...

Coincidence? I think not!


7 posted on 01/27/2009 9:13:25 PM PST by proudpapa (Obama - The Worst One Ever!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: proudpapa
The parts of Antarctica that have experienced measurable warming are the same parts of Antarctica that have been experiencing volcanic activity...

Do you have a link?

8 posted on 01/27/2009 9:24:55 PM PST by neverdem (Xin loi minh oi)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: neverdem; proudpapa
I can't attest to the veracity of this site but http://www.tgdaily.com/content/view/41171/117/ seems to agree with post #7.
9 posted on 01/27/2009 9:29:58 PM PST by allmost
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: neverdem

http://wattsupwiththat.com/2008/01/22/surprise-theres-an-active-volcano-under-antarctic-ice/


10 posted on 01/27/2009 9:33:17 PM PST by USAF70 (America is not 'governed' by the President or Congress. America is governed by the U.S.Constitution.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: neverdem

NASA Spacecraft Detects Volcanic Activity In Antarctica

http://www.spacedaily.com/news/antarctic-04d.html


11 posted on 01/27/2009 9:35:42 PM PST by Fred Nerks (fair dinkum!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: neverdem
My Daddy told me,when I was a child (many years ago) that

"Figures don't lie but liars figure." Seem true.

12 posted on 01/27/2009 9:39:03 PM PST by Peacekeeper357 (This is not a free ride. Become a monthly donor like me.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: allmost

A lot of global warming publications love to leave out any mention of geothermal activity and/or volcanic activity.

I happen to reside in Washington State. The #1 polluter in our state for the last 29 years has been Mount Saint Helens. It creates more pollution than #2-10 combined.


13 posted on 01/27/2009 10:18:24 PM PST by proudpapa (Obama - The Worst One Ever!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 9 | View Replies]

To: proudpapa

It is flat out deceitful to call something a scientific study on nature when natural phenomena are selectively covered up and suppressed.


14 posted on 01/27/2009 10:23:34 PM PST by allmost
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 13 | View Replies]

To: Fred Nerks; USAF70; allmost

Thanks for your links.


15 posted on 01/27/2009 10:23:35 PM PST by neverdem (Xin loi minh oi)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]

To: neverdem

Bump for later reading


16 posted on 01/27/2009 10:59:46 PM PST by SuziQ
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: neverdem; IrishCatholic; Normandy; According2RecentPollsAirIsGood; Fiddlstix; ...
MANN-made-Climate-Change ... bwahahahaha ha ha

 




Beam me to Planet Gore !

17 posted on 01/28/2009 3:14:17 AM PST by steelyourfaith (ObamaNation: Tax cheat sworn in as Treasury Seretary --- you can't make this stuff up !!!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: neverdem
Duh! I feel so stupid! Now I know what they mean by man made global warming! It doesn't have anything at all to do with humans, our lives, and our prosperity causing the earth temperatures to rise!

It seems that men were altering the data and these were the men that created global warming out of thin air! Hence, "man made" global warming! Or should that be "Mann made" global warming?

Well, I can't say they lied about the name, they told everyone straight out.

18 posted on 01/28/2009 5:17:31 AM PST by Freedom Dignity n Honor (There are permanent moral truths.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: neverdem

My (very) liberal sister is raising her boys to be very liberal, activist, metrosexual types. It’s a shame, as the oldest boy showed signs of having a very good scientific mind. Unfortunately, activists make very poor scientists. A true scientist says “let’s follow the data and see where it leads.” An activist says “let’s create a study that proves.....” All objectivity is lost. There is very little true scientific study done any more.

hh


19 posted on 01/28/2009 5:36:21 AM PST by hoosier hick (Note to RINOs: We need "a choice not an echo"... (Barry Goldwater))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: allmost

Rules For Bureau-scientists.

1. Agenda Uber Alles!
2. Data means what you wish it to. Neither more, nor less.
3. If tortured long enough and hard enough, the data will always confess.

Knowing the above, go thou and support thy Agency’s Agenda.


20 posted on 01/28/2009 6:26:08 AM PST by GladesGuru (In a society predicated upon freedom, it is essential to examine principles,)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 14 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-23 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson