I don't know about that. At one spot on the [SA]fault, large quakes were pretty regular, on the order of every twenty years.
Monitoring stations were set up to pinpoint the exact location for taking core samples after the next large quake. One didn't happen for about twenty-nine years.
Oh, and core samples revealed the slipping was occurring along a talc mineral deposit.
Not quite sure what your response was in reference to, but to clarify my earlier post, I was commenting on the "expert's" statement that - “The next earthquake could be sooner than later,”
It's sort of like a weatherman predicting the chance of rain being 50%.
It doesn't take a college degree to make such a vague statement, and it appears that you provided at least as much information in your post than she did in her paid for study.