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CNN/Time Poll: Race for South Carolina tightening
CNN ^ | /1/18/2012 | Paul Steinhauser

Posted on 01/18/2012 1:38:33 PM PST by TBBT

Charleston, South Carolina (CNN) - With three days to go until the first-in-the south primary, Mitt Romney remains in the lead in the Palmetto State, but according to a new poll, his advantage over Newt Gingrich is rapidly shrinking.

A CNN/Time/ORC International poll indicates that 33% of likely South Carolina Republican primary voters say they are backing Romney, with 23% supporting Gingrich. The former Massachusetts governor's 10 point advantage over the former House speaker is down from a 19 point lead two weeks ago. According to the survey, former Sen. Rick Santorum of Pennsylvania is at 16%, Rep. Ron Paul of Texas is at 13%, and Texas Gov. Rick Perry stands at 6%.

(Excerpt) Read more at politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com ...


TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: South Carolina
KEYWORDS: elections; gingrich; newt; poll; southcarolina; teapartyrebellion
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"Gingrich appears to be the only candidate with momentum as the race in South Carolina enters the final few days," says CNN Polling Director Keating Holland. "Support for Romney and Santorum appears to be slipping, and Paul and Perry seem flat. Gingrich, however, has gained ground and cut Romney's lead in half since early January."

*snip*

Nearly all the interviews were conducted before the Palin's Tuesday night remarks and before Monday night's presidential debate. Most pundits agree that Gingrich had a strong performance at the debate in Myrtle Beach, S.C. At the same showdown, Romney came under attack by his rivals for hedging on whether he would release his tax returns.

*snip*

The poll in South Carolina was conducted for CNN and Time magazine by ORC International from January 13-17, with 505 voters who are likely to vote in the Republican primary questioned by telephone. The survey's overall sampling error is plus or minus 4.5 percentage points.


1 posted on 01/18/2012 1:38:41 PM PST by TBBT
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To: TBBT; All

Momentum, momentum, momentum...

This is YOUR LAST CHANCE to defeat Romney, folks.
It’s your choice.

Either your gather under ONE candidate, or it’s over.


2 posted on 01/18/2012 1:41:52 PM PST by tcrlaf (Election 2012: THE RAPTURE OF THE DEMOCRATS)
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To: TBBT

Some notes (I already read the internals)

1. The most conservative part of the state is the Lowcountry (area between Charleston and Savannah). The internals by region list Lowcontry numbers as N/A.

2. Poll was conducted the 13th through the 17th. Only one day was after the debate.

Given those very large disadvantages/biases, I’d say Newt is doing pretty well only down 10.


3 posted on 01/18/2012 1:43:02 PM PST by wolfman23601
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To: TBBT

Since this a 4 day poll it doesn’t tell us as much. Did Gingrich’s gains occur in the last two days indicating a stronger surge, or was it a smaller steady increase over the 4 days?

The poll also Santorum starting to slide... When did that occur?


4 posted on 01/18/2012 1:44:39 PM PST by TBBT
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To: tcrlaf

“Either your gather under ONE candidate, or it’s over.”

You mean,

“we all gotta back Noot”.

Why not be honest about it?

I’m backing Santorum. He’s earned my vote. Newt has not.


5 posted on 01/18/2012 1:44:54 PM PST by BenKenobi
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To: tcrlaf

Gingrich is the only choice...warts and all...and wow, he does have warts.

Romney, at heart, is a big government liberal who will accomodate the Democrats and take the government into insolvency. He will do it slower than Obama, but he will do it.

Gingrich will fight. He will fight Obama and like Lincoln followed Stephan Douglas around until Douglas agreed to a series of debates...Obama will have no choice. Without a teleprompter The One is history.

Please, South Carolina, vote for Gingrich.


6 posted on 01/18/2012 1:46:04 PM PST by kjo
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To: TBBT

“The poll also Santorum starting to slide... When did that occur?”

Do I have to post the old polls - again?

He was at 16 before.


7 posted on 01/18/2012 1:46:35 PM PST by BenKenobi
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To: BenKenobi

Then you are voting for Romney...


8 posted on 01/18/2012 1:47:25 PM PST by TBBT
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To: tcrlaf
It is in the bag for mittens the msm has chose our candiddate again, the nitwits should not perform another debate with these media bastards in charge.I hate this shi*.
9 posted on 01/18/2012 1:48:06 PM PST by boomop1 (term limits is the only way to save this country.)
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To: TBBT

“According to the survey, which was also released Tuesday, Romney stood at 43%, with Santorum at 19%, Gingrich 18%, Paul 9% and Perry at 2%.”

Did you miss this, TBBT?

Santorum’s second in FL.


10 posted on 01/18/2012 1:48:25 PM PST by BenKenobi
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To: tcrlaf
Obama = Obamacare
Romney = Romneycare
Gingrich = Gingrichcare
Santorum = Get the federal government the hell out of health care

Tell me which one has the conservative viewpoint?

11 posted on 01/18/2012 1:49:25 PM PST by Hoodat (Because they do not change, Therefore they do not fear God. -Psalm 55:19-)
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To: BenKenobi

First of all... Are you a S.C. resident?


12 posted on 01/18/2012 1:50:14 PM PST by TBBT
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To: TBBT

. . . just like you are voting for Obama.


13 posted on 01/18/2012 1:50:56 PM PST by Hoodat (Because they do not change, Therefore they do not fear God. -Psalm 55:19-)
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To: TBBT

We need all conservatives to coalesce around our leading conservative in South Carolina to defeat the establishment’s RINO!!

Don’t let RINO Romney leave South Carolina with the big MO!!

Go, NEWT!! Take the wind out of Romney’s sails!!

Rebellion is brewing!!


14 posted on 01/18/2012 1:51:48 PM PST by Jim Robinson (Rebellion is brewing!! Impeach the corrupt Marxist bastard!!)
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To: TBBT

We're gonna make it after all!


15 posted on 01/18/2012 1:52:52 PM PST by JediJones (Newt-er Romney in 2012!)
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To: TBBT

You heard it right here folks. If you vote for anyone other than Newt - you’re supporting Romney.


16 posted on 01/18/2012 1:53:13 PM PST by BenKenobi
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To: BenKenobi

I’ve noticed that the polls move when the spotlight switches to the state having the primary. I imagine that will happen in Fla too.


17 posted on 01/18/2012 1:53:22 PM PST by jpsb
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To: BenKenobi

“I’m backing Santorum. He’s earned my vote. Newt has not.”

Then I’m sure you will be very happy when Romney loses to Obama, as well, then?

HOPEY-CHANGEY! (And all that crap.)


18 posted on 01/18/2012 1:53:52 PM PST by tcrlaf (Election 2012: THE RAPTURE OF THE DEMOCRATS)
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To: TBBT

Are you?

I’m in TX.


19 posted on 01/18/2012 1:54:06 PM PST by BenKenobi
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To: BenKenobi

The who you are going to vote for is irrelevant.


20 posted on 01/18/2012 1:55:55 PM PST by TBBT
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