Posted on 08/16/2015 12:16:41 PM PDT by Jack Hydrazine
Doesn't matter. They are counting current eruptions, not year to date ones. Comparing current eruptions against a yearly average is a meaningless comparison. It doesn't take into account how long eruptions last. It's bad math.
ping
This COULD happen in our lifetimes. Odds are, it won't. Volcanos range from the "safe" Hawaii types of volcanos to Yellowstone and Toba (VEI-8).
We've had a handful of major volcanic eruptions in our lifetimes. If you take away the "locally" major eruptions that cause casualties due to proxcimity (like Mt Pelee), then it's even rarer.
Large volcanic eruptions the size of a Mt St Helens (1980) are rare. Mt. St Helens was VEI-5. There were 12 VEI-5 or larger eruptions in the 20th century, 1 VEI-5 or larger in the 21st century, and 8 or 9 VEI-5 or larger eruptions in the 19th Century. Usually it will take a VEI-6 to significantly affect climate.
In my lifetime, there was one VEI-6. Mt Pinatubo. Mt Hudson was VEI-5 around the same time as Pinatubo possibly causing amplified effects. The other 20th century VEI-6 were in the early 1900's. I'm not sure about climate effect.
In the 1800's the known VEI-6 was Krakatoa and the known VEI-7 was Tambora (Year without a summer).
There is believed to be maybe six VEI-7 eruptions during "semi-modern civilization" going back to Santorini (Mionans). That goes back 3700 years.
If we get another Tambora or Santorini, we're in trouble. If Yellowstone or Toba sized eruption happens (last one 70000+ years ago), we're screwed. Is it likely to happen in our lifetime? No.
“Volcanos happen. Numbers?? There is no standard predictor. Happens when it wants to. Man has zip to do with it.”
Magnetic Reversals Linked to Massive Volcanism
http://iceagenow.info/2012/08/magnetic-reversals-linked-massive-volcanism/
Earths Magnetic Flips May Have Triggered Mass Extinctions
http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/d-brief/2014/06/10/earths-magnetic-flips-may-triggered-mass-extinctions/
Earth’s magnetic field showing signs of significant weakening
http://thewatchers.adorraeli.com/2014/06/19/earth-s-magnetic-field-showing-signs-of-significant-weakening/
Earth’s Magnetic Field Is Weakening 10 Times Faster Now
http://www.livescience.com/46694-magnetic-field-weakens.html
New study: Our magnetic field could flip in less than a human life time in less than 100 years
http://iceagenow.info/2014/10/study-magnetic-field-flip-human-life-time-100-years/
Weakening magnetic field a precursor to a reversal
http://iceagenow.info/2013/06/weakening-magnetic-field-precursor-reversal/
Scientists link magnetic reversal, climate change and super volcano to same time period
http://iceagenow.info/2012/10/scientists-link-magnetic-reversal-climate-change-super-volcano-time-period/
For completeness, we should however note that indirect intensity measurements from archaeological sources appear to confirm field decay over the last 3000 years.
http://www.phys.ens.fr/~dormy/Publications/EPN_rmk.html
(take a look at the graph at the link.)
You forgot to include the Cascadia fault that runs along the coast of n. CA up to WA!
Based on the evidence in the rocks!
Given the political venom the D.C. elite throw at Americans in the breadbasket is it reasonable to think they would act like the English did in Ireland during the potato famine? Can you imagine Americans starving to death while the parasites in Washington ship grains and produce to the highest foreign bidder? Sadly, I can.
That’s pretty awesome.
Snyder's right...
“We need to plug them up with used tires and junk cars and Muslims.”
Or at least use the tires for volcano pranks on the public!
One of the greatest April fool’s pranks EVER, orchestrated by Porky Bickar
http://www.sitka.com/Porky/porky.htm
From the Top 100 April Fool’s Day Hoaxes of All Time in which Porky’s prank was #16:
1974: Residents of Sitka, Alaska were alarmed when the long-dormant volcano neighboring them, Mount Edgecumbe, suddenly began to belch out billows of black smoke. People spilled out of their homes onto the streets to gaze up at the volcano, terrified that it was active again and might soon erupt. Luckily it turned out that man, not nature, was responsible for the smoke. A local practical joker named Porky Bickar had flown hundreds of old tires into the volcano’s crater and then lit them on fire, all in a (successful) attempt to fool the city dwellers into believing that the volcano was stirring to life. According to local legend, when Mount St. Helens erupted six years later, a Sitka resident wrote to Bickar to tell him, “This time you’ve gone too far!”
http://www.olypen.com/sitkacds/porky.htm
I agree, ‘cause we’re all gonna DIE!
Time. Could be today, could be 100 years from now, could be 1000 years from now. That mean old time.
Once again, just because things have always been a certain way does not mean that they will always be that way.
You think? I was once young, now I'm old. A lot of things changed, darn it.
Whatever happens, we are powerless so why worry about it? There's all this fear stoked by liberals because of nature doing its thing. Knowledge of the why and how, is a good thing. Fear of nature is a bad thing. I'm in awe of the power of nature and God's creations. I fear the doings of liberals more than of nature. If it all blows up, then we'll deal with the aftermath. In the meantime let's take one day at a time and live our lives. And put a stop to liberals and their attempts to manipulate nature without understanding why it does what it does.
Wow, that is one hell of a story.
They’d lock him up for life if he did that today.
There just is not a sense of humor left in todays world.
Now just a bleepin second.
and that's not the worst part...we're all gonna die.....AGAIN!
That too, you are correct.
Considering that the average inter-glacial is about 11,500 years and we’ve been in one for some 11,800 I think the signs of us going back into the two million year deep freeze are there based on volcanic and seismic data, the decreasing strength of the Earth’s magnetic field, the increase in the movement of the Earth’s north pole from five miles per year around 1850 to 35-40 miles per year currently, and other factors.
Ice ages looked like El Niño
Climatologists find familiar fluctuations in Pacific’s past
http://www.nature.com/news/1998/020708/full/news020708-19.html
The highest I have climbed was the summit of Cerro Aconcagua in the Argentina Andes. Climbed by the difficult Polish Glacier Route. The summit is just under 23,000 ft. From start to finish this climb took 21 days.
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