It was a bomb. 10 to 1.
We shall see where the data leads.
We know the plane had a tail strike.
We know that at least two other commercial airlines had a rear bulkhead failure following a tail strike and inadequate repair.
We know the Russians utterly suck at maintenance.
Still, I wouldn’t be the slightest bit surprised were it a bomb. 10:1? I give it 50:50.
With a sidebar that if it serves Russia’s proaganda goals, it will be reported as a bomb.
Remember the Maine!