Monmouth Texas Poll Texas: Cruz, Clinton Lead Primaries (Cruz 38%, Trump 23%, Rubio 21%)

Monmouth ^ | 2/25/16

[Logical me]

What a joke your garbage is. Wake up child.

Trump for President

[xzins]

This poll reveals that even though its sample size of 456 with a 4.6% is okay for likely voters as the only criterion, that a larger sample would be better. Each demographic must ALSO be representative to have a truly stellar poll. To account for important weightings, this poll of a state as large as Texas should have been larger. If gender, party ID, and degree of conservatism doesn’t matter to you, but only likely voters matters to you, then this was an OKAY poll. Personally, I think the degree of conservatism is extremely important. If independents can vote, then party ID is also very important.

Men it has only 249 for a hohum MOE of 6.2%
Female it has only 209 for a yawn MOE of 6.8%

Republicans it has 320 for a decent MOE of 5.5%

Independents it has only 135 for an awful MOE of 8.4%
In other words, independents are undersampled. We know that independents, republicans, and democrats are each about a third of the population, so the sample needed more of them.

On Conservatism it went from bad to awful.

Very Conservative it had 203 for an MOE of 6.9%

Somewhat Conservative it had 151 for a bad MOE 8.0

Moderate to Lib it had only 96 for an AWFUL MOE of 10.0%

That’s by the polling group’s own numbers found here:

http://www.monmouth.edu/assets/0/32212254770/32212254991/32212254992/32212254994/32212254995/30064771087/fd1752af-cc7a-4b4c-9125-1d26f351cc4a.pdf

[ETL]

What a joke your garbage is. Wake up child. Trump for President

How anyone as obviously stupid as you can name yourself "Logical me" is very puzzling.

[georgiarat]

I do not doubt he loves the country it is his ego that would not allow him to think long term.

[ETL]

I meant he loves his country too much to get behind someone like Trump.

[County Agent Hank Kimball]

But this is the Trump supporter.

YOU post links to his own comments in his own words.

He says “what a joke your garbage is.”

Occam’s Razor: They’re just not that bright. They’re LILI’s. Low-Information, Low-Intellect.

Hank

[odawg]

“...praising commie/traitor Obama on his global apology tour.”

You phrase that like Trump was praising Obama for apologizing for America. Never happened. Trump has always done just the opposite

“Or gushed praise on an enemy of America like KGB Putin.”

What he said about Putin can hardly be considered “gushing praise”. The only thing that can be said about that is that Putin praised Trump as a way to dis Obama, whom he hates and does not respect and wanted show it, and Trump used it to join in to dis Obama, who at the very least he certainly does not respect.

[taxcontrol]

[Cruz Supporter]
Thought exercise:

Lets assume The poll is correct. Texas has 155 delegates so the split would be 59 Cruz, 40 Trump, 28 Rubio. If we add this and only this to the delegate count, we get:

Trump - 222
Cruz - 76
Rubio - 44

Since the rest of the Super Tuesday states are proportional and favor of Trump, the ratio between Trump and Cruz is only going to get worse.

However, I want to point out that I do not want Cruz to give up. There is still a chance that Trump will NOT go into the convention with enough delegates. My own analysis shows that is a slim chance. My numbers show 1,300 delegates for Trump and the end of the primaries. It may come down to which ever candidate hangs in there the longest.

At this point it looks like this. Die hard Conservatives (me) are supporting Cruz, Establishment Republicans are supporting Rubio. Everyone else is supporting Trump.

[ETL]

But this is the Trump supporter. YOU post links to his own comments in his own words. He says "what a joke your garbage is."

Yet the fool has the gall to call himself "logical me". Lol!

Thus my tagline.

[ETL]

Re: "...praising commie/traitor Obama on his global apology tour."

You phrase that like Trump was praising Obama for apologizing for America. Never happened. Trump has always done just the opposite

TRUMP [on the Larry King Show (April 15, 2009), referring to the then newly elected communist president (Obama)]: "Well, I really like him. I think that he's working very hard. He's trying to rebuild our reputation throughout the world. I mean, we really have lost a lot of reputation in the world. The previous administration [GW Bush] was a total disaster, a total catastrophe."

CNN LARRY KING LIVE Interview with Donald Trump
April 15, 2009

http://www.cnn.com/TRANSCRIPTS/0904/15/lkl.01.html

_________________________________________________________

The President's Apology Tour
Great leaders aren't defined by consensus.
By Karl Rove
April 23, 2009

President Barack Obama has finished the second leg of his international confession tour. In less than 100 days, he has apologized on three continents for what he views as the sins of America and his predecessors. ..."

http://www.wsj.com/articles/SB124044156269345357
_________________________________________________________

"Well, I really like him. I think that he's working very hard. He's trying to rebuild our reputation throughout the world."

--Trump, CNN's Larry King Live, April 15, 2009
_________________________________________________________

_____________________________________________

"Change will not come if we wait for some other person or if we wait for some other time.
We are the ones we've been waiting for.
We are the change that we seek"-- BARACK OBAMA
_____________________________________________

"Barack Obama told supporters that
'change has come to America' as he
claimed victory in a historic presidential election."

http://www.cnn.com/2008/POLITICS/11/04/election.president/index.html
_________________________________________________________

"Well, I really like him. I think that he's working very hard. He's trying to rebuild our reputation throughout the world."

--Trump, CNN's Larry King Live, April 15, 2009

[ETL]

BTW, "County Agent Hank Kimball", I love YOUR screen name. Well, I don't love it... I like it. No, actually I DO love it! :)

Green Acres is one of my favorite sitcoms of all time. Brilliantly written.

[odawg]

“I think that he’s working very hard. He’s trying to rebuild our reputation throughout the world...”

So, he wasn’t praising Obama for criticizing the United States.

You really, really think that Trump, with his empire to run, was really scrutinizing Obama’s every word, deed, thought?

As for the New York City mayor, do you really think Trump gives a hoot for him? It is called flattery. It is cheaper than money.

Do you think that Trump gives a damn about that mayor. Examine the mayor’s life, his personal life. Then notice Trump’s personal life. Can’t you see a separation?

[County Agent Hank Kimball]

Thanks! Good to know another discerning person. Too few realize that it wasn’t just a dopey comedy (well it was certainly some of that), but also pretty innovative in a lot of ways.

Well, not a LOT of ways....

;-)

Hank

[ETL]

Do you think that Trump gives a damn about that mayor. Examine the mayor's life, his personal life. Then notice Trump's personal life. Can't you see a separation?

Both at least at one time supported partial birth abortion and gays in the military. I'm not sure if Trump still supports gays in the military. Also both, to this day, support Obama's opening up to communist Cuba. And both were open to doing business with the old Soviet Union, De Blasio obviously being a big supporter of the SU.

AS for Trump...

Follow Trump's Money to Moscow

Renew America ^ | December 25, 2015 | Cliff Kincaid

The phrase "follow the money" is supposed to help explain human behavior, especially in politics. So why has Donald Trump embraced Russian President Vladimir Putin? Why has he denied the evidence of Putin's killing of Russian journalists and dissidents? A savvy businessman, Trump is certainly not dumb. There must be something else to it.

Reports dating back to 1987, during the time of the old Soviet Union, reveal that Trump has been seeking business in Russia and attempting to build a "Russian Trump Tower" in Moscow and perhaps other Russian cities.

At this particular time in history, with Putin's cronies under financial sanctions because of the Russian invasion of Ukraine, Putin's praise for Trump may signal another attempt to get the capitalists and their money back into Russia. Such a ploy depends on Trump and others rehabilitating Putin by claiming that he is fighting terrorism in Syria, not bolstering a long-time Soviet/Russian client state.

Thanks to the effectiveness of the Russia Today (RT) channel, which saturates the U.S. media market, especially cable television, Putin is indeed looking like a statesman on the world stage.

Trump's relationship with Russia goes far back. In 1987, before the collapse of the Soviet Union, he was meeting with Soviet officials and negotiating the building of "luxury hotels" in Moscow and Leningrad. A story at the time said Trump had met Soviet Ambassador Yuri Dubinin, who mentioned how much his daughter had admired the "opulent" Trump Tower in New York City. This led to an invitation to Trump to visit the USSR. The story said Dubinin wrote a letter to Trump, who hosted a meeting with Soviet officials in New York.

The invitation to Moscow was issued by Intourist, the giant Soviet in-country travel organization which operated all the hotels for foreigners in the Soviet Union. Intourist was created in 1929 by Joseph Stalin and run by KGB officials. Intourist hotels were designed for wealthy foreigners, and virtually all the Intourist guides were KGB informers. In fact, one aspect of their jobs was the recruitment of foreigners.

However, Trump expressed concern about "Soviet regulations on joint ventures, which require that the Soviets hold a controlling 51 percent interest" in such projects. Trump wanted majority control.

The book The Global Emerging Market: Strategic Management and Economics, by Vladimir Kvint, said that as far back as 2008, the Trump Organization had registered its trademarks in Russia in the areas of real estate development and construction. Trump's son, Donald Jr., said in an interview at the time that his father was looking at investing in Russia and China. These were considered top A-list countries. Donald Jr. is the executive vice president of Development & Acquisitions at the Trump Organization.

Trump wasn't the only businessman who thought the new Russia would prove hospitable to foreign investment. American businessman Bill Browder ran an investment fund in Russia called Hermitage Capital. Once a Putin fan, he thought private property rights were going to be protected. However, he was deported in 2005, his assets stolen, and his lawyer, Sergei Magnitsky, was tortured and killed. Browder now says, "The Russian regime is a criminal regime. We're dealing with a nuclear country run by a bunch of Mafia crooks. And we have to know that."

Cases like that didn't stop Congress in 2012 from voting for Permanent Normal Trade Relations (PNTR) for Russia. It passed the Senate by 92-4 and the House by 365-43. Despite the ominous trends, including Putin's invasion of the former Soviet Republic of Georgia in 2008, big business thought a lot of money could still be made in Russia. In 2013, Trump was himself back in Russia holding his "Miss Universe" pageant. "I have plans to start business in Russia," Trump told the Russian media. "I am currently in talks with several Russian companies to build a skyscraper on the model of Trump Tower in New York."

One of Trump's contacts was Russian billionaire Araz Agalarov and his company Crocus Group. He owned Crocus City Hall, where the Miss Universe finals were being held. He confirmed that his company, Crocus Group, had been participating in real estate talks with Trump. Later that year Agalarov was given an outstanding citizen award by Vladimir Putin at a ceremony held in the Kremlin. He has been called "The Donald Trump of Russia."

Rather than treat China and Russia as business opportunities, Trump said in his 2011 book 'Time To Get Tough' that China is "not our friend" and is stealing our jobs, technology, and military capabilities. It appears that a business relationship with China had soured since the time Donald Jr. was considering investing there. Trump's attacks on China have been a big hit on the campaign trail.

Analyst Nevin Gussack says of Trump, "While his trade and immigration policies would strengthen our strategic and economic posture, his naivete and ignorance of Russia and even Cuba is very disconcerting." It appears that Trump has flip-flopped on the question of whether he would invest in communist Cuba.

As far as Russia is concerned, there's no talk in the 2011 book of doing business with Putin. But Trump said that he "often speaks highly" of Putin because of his "intelligence and no-nonsense way." An intelligence operative, Putin was in the KGB and ran one of the KGB's successor agencies, the FSB.

Putin certainly has a "no-nonsense" approach to his perceived political enemies. Russian journalist Anna Politkovskaya was poisoned, miraculously survived, but was then later shot dead on October 7, 2006, which happened to be Putin's birthday. She had been warning about the KGB's return to power and was investigating the circumstances surrounding the kidnapping and murder of hundreds in the Beslan school massacre in southern Russia in 2004. This event, like the 1999 Moscow apartment bombings, was blamed on Islamists and gave Putin the opportunity, or pretext, to further consolidate his power over the military, the intelligence agencies, and the economy. He assumed virtual dictatorial powers.

The poisoning of Politkovskaya was a hallmark of the KGB's "no-nonsense" way of doing business. Later that same year, dissident former FSB officer Alexander Litvinenko was murdered by poisoning in London, to which he had fled. He wrote the book Blowing Up Moscow: The Secret Plot to Bring Back KGB Terror, about the FSB's role in those 1999 Moscow apartment bombings. He had also named al-Qaeda's number two man, Ayman al-Zawahiri, as having been trained by the KGB.

While Trump's 2011 book denounced "Obama's pandering to the Russians" in areas like sabotaging missile defense for our allies, he said Putin had a "grand vision," the creation of a "Eurasian Union" to replace the USSR. He said Putin wanted to control oil supplies to all of Europe. This was an important insight into how Putin's regime is not defensive, nor reacting to the U.S. and NATO, but is instead aggressive in foreign affairs and trying to dominate its neighbors. However, rather than explain what the Russians were up to with this "grand vision," Trump went on to say "Hats off to the Russians" in getting their way with Obama.

One can fully understand taking Obama to task for giving in to the Russians. But praising the Russians for taking advantage of Obama reflects a trait that is all too common with many conservatives. Their disgust with Obama has blinded them to the nature of our enemies, who exploit his foreign policy to their advantage. They somehow think Putin is acting in America's interests when Obama is not. That's ludicrous.

In his latest book, Crippled America: How to Make America Great Again, Trump notes that Putin is "outmaneuvering" Obama in the Middle East. Trump calls Putin a leader, in contrast to Obama. But what is Putin leading? Trump refers to Iran as "Russia's best friend," without explaining the significance of its alliance with Russia. Trump also says in his book that he doesn't understand "why Germany and other countries watched impassively as Putin marched into Ukraine."

After the invasion of Ukraine and the shoot-down of the Malaysian plane by Russian-backed terrorists, Trump claimed, "I think I became much richer because I can understand people and read people and Putin is not finished. Putin has got a long way to go."

Again, we are left thinking that Trump understands the aggressive intentions of Vladimir Putin.

Yet, when Trump was asked about the nuclear balance with Russia during the most recent Republican presidential debate, he displayed ignorance of the decaying nature of the U.S. nuclear triad, which constitutes our ability to deter and survive a Russian nuclear first strike.

Meanwhile, Putin has just presided over a ceremony honoring the KGB's successor agencies, and the Russia Today (RT) propaganda channel has announced the grand opening of a "cultural center" dedicated to mass murderer Joseph Stalin.

It looks like Putin has outmaneuvered Obama and Trump. It is an opening for Trump's opponents, especially Senators Ted Cruz (R-TX) and Marco Rubio (R-FL). But do they have the courage to "follow the money" and hold Trump accountable for doing business with a criminal regime that threatens the survival of the United States? At the end of this money trail, they may find an explanation of why Trump is so reluctant to hold Putin responsible for his crimes.

http://www.renewamerica.com/columns/kincaid/151225

[TexasFreeper2009]

We know Cruz well here in Texas and know what he has done for us and know the truth of how hard he has fought for us and how he has attempted to keep his campaign promises.

Cruz will do very well in Texas.

Can Rubio say the same?

[bgill]

Texas will be the biggest delegate prize of the primary season so far.

Only if a candidate wins by a landslide. Texas is not a winner take all. We divvy up the delegates.

[TexasFreeper2009]

If Cruz can rack up a massive win in Texas and Kaisaic can take Ohio and Rubio Florida (both of which look unlikely at this point)

then, I could see this going to the convention.

But if Trump wins Florida and Ohio, both of which are winner take all... it’s over.

[bgill]

A lot of Cruz’s votes will come from the elderly who voted extra early back in January before all the hoopla began. They were voting for the home boy who would send Texas some perks. Now, some are wishing they’d waited. That’s the problem with voting so early.

[ETL]

I certainly agree with that!

Well, not 'agree' with it...

[taxcontrol]

Another (but arguably not likely to happen) would be for there to be a significant rally against Trump but FOR either Rubio or Cruz ... Assuming that the post Super Tuesday primaries that are winner take all, go against Trump.