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Poll: Clinton holds slim national lead over Trump
MSNBC ^ | 17 May 2016 | Hannah Hartig, John Lapinski and Stephanie Psyllos

Posted on 05/17/2016 7:39:34 AM PDT by mandaladon

Over the past couple of weeks, Donald Trump has become the presumptive Republican nominee and Hillary Clinton continues to inch closer to the magic number of delegates she needs to lock up the Democratic contest. Clinton continues to lead Bernie Sanders in our national tracking poll (she is up by 14 points in this week’s results).

Attention is now rapidly moving to the hypothetical match-up between the leading candidates with an emphasis on a Clinton and Trump contest. In this week’s poll, Americans are nearly split between their choice of Trump or Clinton; her margin over Trump narrows from 5 points last week to 3 points this week to 48 percent to 45 percent.

This early data indicates a very close race right now – though that may change considerably before November. Understanding why the race is close requires a deeper look into how various demographic groups break for either candidate.

The demographic-based analyses below are from the latest data from the NBC News|SurveyMonkey Weekly Election Tracking Poll conducted online from May 9 through May 15 among 14,100 adults including 12,507 who say they are registered to vote.

Clinton, who was able to maintain her front-runner status throughout the Democratic primary by winning over black and Hispanic voters, continues to do extremely well among these voters over Trump. She wins black voters 84 percent to 9 percent – a 75 point gap—and wins Hispanics 65 percent to 28 percent. Trump is the preferred candidate among white voters by 14 points over Clinton—53 percent to 39 percent. This is up slightly from last week’s 11-point margin among white voters.

There is also a significant gender gap with Clinton beating Trump by 15 points among women, while Trump carries men by a similar 11-percent margin.

(Excerpt) Read more at msnbc.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: New York
KEYWORDS: 2016election; 2016polls; demagogicparty; election2016; elections; hannahhartig; hillary; johnlapinski; memebuilding; msnbc; newyork; partisanmediashill; partisanmediashills; stephaniepsyllos; trump
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While many people are speculating that Republican voters will ultimately end up supporting Trump, and Democrats will line up behind Clinton, a big question is where independents will place their support. At this moment, independents break for Trump 44 percent to 36 percent. This group will be heavily targeted this summer and fall by campaigns and outside groups as they will be a critical voting bloc in determining the winner.....................Independents will go for Trump!
1 posted on 05/17/2016 7:39:34 AM PDT by mandaladon
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To: mandaladon

Which pretty much means a tie.


2 posted on 05/17/2016 7:40:04 AM PDT by Biggirl ("One Lord, one faith, one baptism" - Ephesians 4:5)
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To: mandaladon

Within the MOE means a tie or Trump ahead.


3 posted on 05/17/2016 7:41:56 AM PDT by DarthVader (Politicians govern out of self interest, Statesmen govern for a Vision greater than themselves)
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To: Biggirl
The demographic-based analyses below are from the latest data from the NBC News|SurveyMonkey Weekly Election Tracking Poll conducted online from May 9 through May 15 among 14,100 adults including 12,507 who say they are registered to vote.

NBC??? The completely discredited propaganda ministry that simply made stuff up in the primaries??

SURVEYMONKEY????!?

12000 out of 14000 even registered to vote at all????

This poll is much less than garbage.

4 posted on 05/17/2016 7:42:49 AM PDT by Lazamataz (Chuck Norris finally met his match in Donald Trump.)
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To: mandaladon

“Hillary Clinton” and “slim” do not belong in the same sentence.


5 posted on 05/17/2016 7:43:09 AM PDT by Buckeye McFrog
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To: mandaladon

This is going to be a brutal election season that will make the primaries seem tame. I think we’re in the calm before the storm right now.


6 posted on 05/17/2016 7:43:47 AM PDT by Scutter
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Dead people and fake Acorn Names overwhelmingly vote democrat. One of the reasons they don’t want voter ID is so any tom dick or harry can vote under an Acorn fake name


7 posted on 05/17/2016 7:44:42 AM PDT by dsrtsage (One half of all people have below average IQ. In the US the number is 54%)
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To: mandaladon

Her lead is shrinking and will soon disappear.

She will then get desperate and will begin to fall apart.


8 posted on 05/17/2016 7:46:30 AM PDT by Helicondelta
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To: mandaladon
The organ of mass deception, again, creating ‘news’. I am not well versed in the knowledge of the Greeks gods... But Hillry is going get painted as the coming of the highest Greek goddess ever.
9 posted on 05/17/2016 7:47:53 AM PDT by Just mythoughts (Jesus said Luke 17:32 Remember Lot's wife.)
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To: Biggirl

And with registered voters.


10 posted on 05/17/2016 7:48:16 AM PDT by KC_Conspirator
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To: mandaladon

Having “slim” in the same sentence as that chubby little fire plug is just dumb.


11 posted on 05/17/2016 7:48:21 AM PDT by FlingWingFlyer (The former king of Mexico is threatening war with the U.S. How do you feel about that?)
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To: Biggirl

Which pretty much means a tie.
++++
At least. This a Registered Voter Poll. A Likely Voter Poll would, IMHO, be more favorable to Trump.

Also, this is an online poll which, also IMHO, favors the Dems because it tends to reduce the number of Senior (Seasoned) Citizens participating.


12 posted on 05/17/2016 7:50:02 AM PDT by InterceptPoint (Still a Cruz Fan but voting for Trump)
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To: mandaladon
"The demographic-based analyses below are from the latest data from the NBC News|SurveyMonkey Weekly Election Tracking Poll conducted online from May 9 through May 15 among 14,100 adults including 12,507 who say they are registered to vote."

WOW! A new low! "Online 'people' not necessarily registered voters...."

13 posted on 05/17/2016 7:50:45 AM PDT by cincinnati65
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To: mandaladon

In any poll the sample population is the key. I understand they usually assume more democrats than republicans. So it seems any poll where the repub is even witht the dem, means there’s going to be a repub win


14 posted on 05/17/2016 7:50:52 AM PDT by captain_dave
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To: mandaladon

The real question is where the candidates stand in the
6-8 states that will decide the electoral college vote.


15 posted on 05/17/2016 7:52:02 AM PDT by deport
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To: mandaladon

The bitch is toast ... She’ll be beaten like a broken donkey!...


16 posted on 05/17/2016 7:53:15 AM PDT by VRWC For Truth (FUBO)
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To: Lazamataz

I wonder if this is the best showing they could do for Clinton? Her people must be mortified, as on paper, she should be doing much better.


17 posted on 05/17/2016 7:54:21 AM PDT by PghBaldy (12/14 - 930am -rampage begins... 12/15 - 1030am - Obama's advance team scouts photo-op locations.)
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To: mandaladon

ROFL...A paid on line news media by Clinton Trash barrel, Trump is ahead of Clinton, and will continue to climb ahead of her...

The one thing that Trump Team need to do is get out the Clinton Crime Family, how Hillary was a Black Panther Lawyer and one of them; how she worked the Rose Law Firm; all this stuff needs to come out for our younger people...we know it, we lived it, but they didn’t and need to know that what they are spreading is re-cycled trash from the 1980’s and it isn’t going to work now...

I am writing things for future use, but we need like Gateway; Drudge, Tree House (which Sundance is pretty sharp on this stuff) and posted here for a lot of other people to read and pick up...


18 posted on 05/17/2016 7:55:18 AM PDT by HarleyLady27 ('THE FORCE AWAKENS!!!' Trump; Trump; Trump; Trump; 100%)
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To: Helicondelta

I still predict, as I have from day one....that Hillary Clinton will withdraw from the POTUS race, for any one of a number of reasons. The one she will choose, or Obama will order her to use,...will be ill health!!! Look for the Obama, enforced ticket of Joe Biden for POTUS & Elizabeth Warren for VP!!!

Of course, if Ms. Clinton loses either of, or both of the primary races today being held in Kentucky & Oregon...her departure will be hastened!!! The Democrat criminal, “super delegate” hold to her will be shattered.


19 posted on 05/17/2016 7:59:22 AM PDT by JLAGRAYFOX (Defeat both the Republican (e) & Democrat (e) political parties....Forever!!!)
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To: mandaladon

I cant wait until the primaries are over with.Both parties finished, nominees announced, conventions done and running mates in place. Then we can finally begin the real campaign.


20 posted on 05/17/2016 8:01:02 AM PDT by GregoTX
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