[11th_VA]

Both Heller an McSally have both had 6 point swings since Kavanagh vote ...

[rovenstinez]

Groping Senator Corey of New Jersey needs to be thanked. Looking down on Kavenaugh when he did FAR worse, and humiliating him works to get Republicans elected.

[PSUGOP]

The only real question is how big will the GOP gains be.

[Andy from Chapel Hill]

What does the asterisk after the CNN poll mean?

[stilloftyhenight]

I will need an industrial sized clamp on my nose to vote for Heller, but I will vote for him to keep the seat Republican.

[TigerClaws]

Kavanaugh BUMP!

[Mr. K]

if enough GOP turn out we could get a republican givernor too.

TURNOUT iS EVERYTHING!!!!!!!!!!

[nikos1121]

I’m not up on the names. Is Heller GOP? Rosen? McSally is GOP and I thought it was nip and tuck.

I still can’t get an honest answer regarding the House races.

Senate, things are looking good.

I see us keeping Cruz, Corker’s (Blackman) and we might pick up:

N. Dakota
Florida

We’re in the race for
WVa
Montana
Maybe even Menendez’s seat

[centurion316]

All polls include a turnout model in their calculations. This is a fancy term for their guess of how many people of each side will actually vote in November. The technical term is SWAG, Scientific Wild Ass Guess. Before Kavanaugh, the turnout model included a high number for Democrats and a low number for Republicans. I think that they are changing the number for Republicans from low to higher. The real result in November will depend on real turnout, not a few magic numbers from the polls.

[Sooth2222]

Not sure 2% is outside of the Nevada Democrat Margin of Fraud, yet.

Is Trump planning a rally?

[FLT-bird]

This one’s gonna be tight but Heller keeps hanging in there with a slim lead. I hope it holds for another month.

[ChildOfThe60s]

In NV, it takes 2 points to match Democrat fraud.

[LS]

Heller has been up in four of the last six polls. RCP only “counts” two of them.

[Wyrd bið ful aræd]

I'm cautiously optimistic that Texas, Tennessee and Arizona Senate seats are safe and the dems keeping calling them in-play to try and drum up a race and cost us money...But after Alabama I can't rest easy until it's all locked up. I think North Dakota flips to us. Manchin will hold out. Florida I have no idea. NJ and MA are very safe, unfortunately.

I've given up trying to game out the House. Whatever happens happens.

[Basket_of_Deplorables]

Harry Reid is rolling over in his grave. Where he’s burried face down.

[1Old Pro]

we need net pick ups, McSally is replacing a GOP senator, we need NV and 2 others for 3 net to fight off the Collins., Murkowski, Romney threat.