Posted on 10/18/2018 2:06:47 PM PDT by SoFloFreeper
...“A race-by-race analysis of Democratic House targets shows the party is close to winning the majority, but they do not have it put away, in our judgment, with Election Day less than three weeks away,” said Kyle Kondik, managing editor of Sabato's Crystal Ball in his new post.
...the Democrats in a worst-case scenario could be four seats shy of the needed 23 needed to install Rep. Nancy Pelosi as speaker.
Of course there are caveats, such as the impact of the huge influx of money to Democrats and President Trump’s decision to campaign furiously through Election Day, but the analysis is a bit of a wet towel on polls and reports declaring a blue wave blowout election.
Nonetheless, he predicts a good night for Democrats.
“Barring a big, positive late change in the political environment in favor of Republicans, the bare minimum for Democratic House gains is in the mid-to-high teens.
(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonexaminer.com ...
Crystal Ball specifically mentions GA-7 (Rob Woodall) as a possible Dem flip. I don’t think so.
This is Georgia Gwinnett county. Remember the article for a few days ago, where the Dems were up in arms about Gwinnett county throwing out 1 out 10 absentee ballots?
I’m confident that the fake ballots in the CD will not see the light of day and Woodall will not have a problem.
I will drag my girlfriend who lives in the district to the polls if I have to (she’s from China but is an American citizen now).
But I won’t have to drag her - she voted for Trump after we talked about it, and convinced a bunch of her Chinese friends (many of whom she helped become citizens) to do the same. And now she and her friends absolutely love Trump - as do many of their friends in China!
Saba to is a professor, which undoubtedly makes him a liberal. As for accuracy? I dont.really care whether he’s right or wrong....plenty of people out there are wrong on polls.
Larry Stubedhistoe
Remember, that so far isn’t translating to GOP support.
When the Dems have been sufficiently bludgeoned in a cycle, they retreat to mantras and grab at straws to enforce the mantras.
They are down to arguing about pre-existing conditions. That’s their only issue. Does that sound like something they can run an entire campaign on? They are
the ones who gave us Obama Care. They can’t mention Trump. What does that tell us?
None of us know how badly they can cheat, but if a party can shoot and beat their opponents, then run a coup against them and win an election, then we are past where voting means much of anything and need to to prepare for something else.
Well that tears it … there’s no use in voting as these states have already voted and closed the polls down without telling the voters (so the headline makes it seem). There needs to be some type of action to shut down these fake claims that low info voters might not read past the headline and just not vote. Hopefully it hits the lib low info voters harder and they won’t vote thinking they’ve already won.
Which means they are actually 10 seats short and falling!
Let’s hope he’s using that crappy crystal ball that let him down so badly in 2016. After that embarrassment, I’m surprised he didn’t just hang it up and go in to hiding.
Won’t be that close.
Yes, and early voting has already started in many states. Go vote now.
They all said the same thing up until the early evening of November 8th, 2016.
ConservaTeen’s Magic 8 Ball said the same thing....maybe I should buy an Ouija board and do predictions with that...it would be the same...BS...let’s go and VOTE!!!!
Sabato = opposite directional weather vane.
So if Larry is talking 20 seats for Dems it probably will be a 25 seat gain for Republicans!
this moron actually teaches snowflakes at a school, through various undergrad and law school programs, has blessed society with Ted Kennedy, Sheila Jackson-Lee, Cheryl Mills, and Katie Couric, among many other elitist lib scum.
And hasn’t had success on the football field against Virginia Tech in the last 14 successive years.
Go Hokies.
In our area they are still citing old, registered voter polls nationally and locally. It’s long past time for likely voter only polls to be in use
Yep...LS is a treasure for us. Great site...
Im not defending the polls but it’s important to realize 2016 doesn’t guarantee any future result. But I agree they would cite better polls if they supported democrats.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.