How can you say that the GOP is on track to win in Florida, when the Dem in-person vote - the method by which most folks cast their vote - is more than 10 thousand in the Dems favor? I live in Florida and I’m seeing much more pro Gillum activity than that for DeSantis.
11/03/18: DEMs lead by 10,638
11/05/16: DEMs lead by 79,542
That’s why. Keep Calm and Vote On.
So he uses actual numbers to make an educated guess.
You use a personal observation of the one part of Florida you live in.
If you think it is so useless because of that, then dont vote.
How can you say that the GOP is on track to win in Florida, when the Dem in-person vote -
IN 2016 the Dems were way ahead in the early vote like 65-100K (I don’t recall the exact number) but still lost Florida by over 100K votes
Your personal experience does not reflect the state. It is actually amazing the Repubs are within 10,000 at this time in EV. Usually, Dems lead by over 100,000 in EV (Early In-Person Voting) at this time.
Republicans usually have to overcome a Dem lead on Election Day. This looks promising because Republicans will not start in a deficit, but have a decent lead.
The Dems are ripping down Desantis signs everywhere so feel free to put them back up Or place them !
I do where everyone I see them rip down.
Steyer has hired paid people in places .
Go to Next door and read the ads .
Its fake !
Sarasota is not that Red anymore.
I was born there .
its was a midwest retirement place.
But the Citrus and tomatoe farmers dragged in tons of Mexicans in the 80s and NYC lefties discovered the place in the 90s along with the NY Boca Raton crowd .
They have destroyed the place.
The city is blue while the south county red .
Because at the same time in 2016, the Dems had a 72k in person vote lead and Trump still won by > 100k votes and Rubio by > 700k votes. So unless Scott/Desantis do far worse with Is than Trump did in 16 (doubtful), we’re in a very good spot relative to 2016 when we already won.
By Election Day, 60% of the vote will have already been cast in FL. A mail-in vote counts the same as an early in-person vote. Historically, the Reps outperform the Dems on Election Day. And the Dems win the total early voting including mail and in-person voting.
Anecdotal information is just that, anecdotal. I will rely more on the votes cast. Gillum won only 34% of the Dem vote in the primary. I have a feeling that a significant percentage of the Dems won’t vote for the first black governor of FL.