Posted on 07/04/2019 8:40:33 PM PDT by nwrep
I know it’s a problem. My post made clear I am just as concerned as you are.
Democrats have WON the state in the not so distant past. Carter won in ‘76, and Humphrey won in ‘68.
Trump’s margin clearly slipped and it’s a problem.
He also tied himself to Glenn Beck for the last six months of his campaign.
also, there is very wealthy Billionaire that is going to spend big $$$ registering over one million new GOP folks in Texas.
So POTUS can concentrate in the Rust Belt.
Finally, I heard Kevin Brady say only about 50% of the Trump vote came out in his district(suburban Houston)in 2018.(and many districts in Texas)
That wont happen this time.
...but I was referring to the 2018 Senate race in my post.
I know - my point wasnt to pile onto Ted Cruz, or to defend him for that matter.
I was just pointing out that Cruzs thin margin of victory over Beto wasnt entirely indicative of demographics, nor is it predictive of how the President will do in Texas 2020.
Ted Cruz and Donald Trump both run as Republicans, and do have significant overlapping constituencies, but there are some yuge differences between the two - - they will not share the same political fates.
President Trump was a political unknown in 2016, and ran largely without support from his own party, which then compounded the betrayal by tying his hands legislatively during his first two years.
Then, absurdly, though his name wasnt even on the 2018 ballot, pundits try to hold out the GOPs loss of the House as proof of President Trumps weakness - preposterous!
Democrats (and even a lot of Republicans) are in for a big shock come 2020.
It worries me as well. Hillary and Trump separated by 1.6 million votes. Net migration of 800,000 Mexicans each year to Texas, and 80% of those vote Democrat. Not looking good.
Never been and so Texas to me may as well be Atlantis. Have no clue about the state except for the few things I learned reading about its history and TV. So I have to rely on actual residents like you to get the lo down. Why is Dallas Austin ect so liberal? Who are these Texan liberals? What makes them tick? Is Dallas basically no different than say Portland?
Didn’t Cruz throw Moore under the bus? Wasn’t Cruz on the hate Trump bandwagon for some time?
Well - pretty easy answer: Dallas has a demographics problem. Austin has become the "silicon valley/tech center" of the state. IOW - it's become Cali-East. A lot of tech companies fled California and moved to Texas - and brought their folks.
Plus - it doesn't help that one of the most liberal schools in the nation, U.T., is there. They have some of the most progressive professors to be found in any public university. They're no better than Berkeley. I've had a couple of friends who raised kids in a very conservative Christian home and sent kids there only to get back flaming libtards. My father-in-law graduated from there in '66. Makes him weep.
Im not a fan of Cruz at all - never was.
Just saying that just because Beto almost beat him doesnt mean Texas is going purple any time soon. Cruz has his own problems - Trump will carry Texas easily in 2020.
Having said that...... Yes, Ted Cruz screwed up big time in 2016 and has made mistakes since then, but he is FAR from our worst problem - he has mostly been solid of late. We need all the friends we can get.
And... those Cruzlims voted for other than Trump only because they could in TX because they knew TX would go red. When close, those same fools will be voting RED. Articles such as this one will motivate them to vote correctly this time. ;). Trump has Texas sewn up imo.
But... when the current crop of idiot kids grow up and start voting, I worry that TX will indeed go blue. I hope Im long gone before then as I dont wish to see it.
Well just finished conversing with an American on a movie chatroom. I’m Canadian by the way. And that person was a flaming race baiting leftist. I seem to come across more and more Americans who are more liberal than most Canadians I know. I fear for America.
Yes I notice that many, like Cruz and Graham, are now more solid, but I wonder if they are only so because the Mueller report vindicated Trump. Would they have their knives out if not?
Hi.
Just another opinion piece from “The Hill,” that is more wet dream than opinion.
Imho.
5.56mm
You could be right.
POTUS was vulnerable at first - or so they thought - but he has consolidated his political power to the point where they would have to be utter fools to cross him.
The Democrats have no choice but to face President Trump in 2020 and he will grind them into hamburger. The Republicans do have a choice - and I have no doubt they will choose wisely - and support him this time around.
I think you are correct, and I overstated it trying to to make my point. He was tough, and decisive, and he was (like all of us are) a man of his time. In retrospect the comparison to Clinton was a poor choice - though I was referring to Bill, not his wife.
He really got mad when they criticized Margaret's singing.
My dad took me to Vinita Oklahoma to see Harry on his famous Whistle Stop tour when I was ten years old. I don't remember seeing any security and we were close enough to spit on him. By the way, her singing was awful and his piano playing wasn't any better.
The tide is turning quickly. Just a short 4 years ago the big fight was gay marriage. Now that we’ve let that camel’s snout under the tent flap - you’re considered a bigot if you think it’s wrong to allow a 5-year-old to have a sex-change.
Are Texas illegal aliens different than California illegal aliens?
Latinos in Ca are overwhelming Democrat voters. [1]
The irony regarding historical political party strength is that Texas has elected more Democrats at both the state and national level, than California has.
Since Texas doesn't register by party, it's more difficult to find trends, but the way Texas is being swamped with illegal aliens and how migration into the state is generally occurring (more growth in liberal big cities), it is not unreasonable to think Texas could go back to being blue in the near term.
Texas Population Projections 2010 to 2050
https://demographics.texas.gov/Infographics/2017/UrbanTexasPt2
In the entire history since Texas joined the Union? Including the years when Texans would not vote for the GOP because of Reconstruction? The number of Dems elected fifty years ago is irrelevant. Your post is misleading, but I don't think you did that intentionally.
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