Posted on 07/04/2019 8:40:33 PM PDT by nwrep
Texas demographics today are strikingly similar to those of California in 1990, before Democrats began their seven to nothing streak of Golden State victories in presidential races. Like California in 1990, the Texas population currently hovers around 29 million and is changing rapidly in light of heavy immigration from Mexico. The second generation children of Mexican immigrants have played a major role in keeping California out of Republican reach. This same transformation is taking root in Texas.
Young Texas voters overwhelmingly turned out for Beto ORourke over incumbent Ted Cruz in the Senate race last year. ORourke beat Cruz with 18 year olds to 24 year olds by a margin of 68 percent to 32 percent and with 25 year olds to 29 year olds by a margin of 73 percent to 26 percent. ORourke also outperformed the traditional edge Democrats already have among Texas Latino voters by a wide margin of 64 percent to 35 percent.
With these second generation Mexican Americans strongly supporting Democrats at the polls, Texas changing to a purple state could not happen at a more inconvenient time for Trump. His margin in the state in 2016 was the smallest for a Republican nominee since the poor showing of Bob Dole in Texas in 1996. Considering the immense and enduring new wave of left leaning voters that ORourke attracted, there is a real chance that Texas will be close enough in 2020 that Republicans cannot take it for granted.
Republicans are already walking a tightrope between the 2018 midterm results and changing demographic realities. In many ways, the resources used to keep Texas red next year are balanced by the fates in Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania. Several campaign stops or a late ad buy could mean the difference in the race. Trump could see his electoral chances go to hell, if Democrats spend more time and money in Texas
In the entire history since Texas joined the Union? Including the years when Texans would not vote for the GOP because of Reconstruction? The number of Dems elected fifty years ago is irrelevant. Your post is misleading, but I don't think you did that intentionally.
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The data is for Texas since 1846, and California since 1849.
Yes, but Texas Democrats in 1960 were totally different from those of today, and it’s absurd to pretend it is the same party.
I am not claiming that immigration from socialist-leaning societies (including California) don't have a serious influence on TX elections. In fact, Mexico lost Texas in the 1830s to revolutionaries whose families had emigrated from mainly the USA.
I think "cultural flipping," combined with "help" from leftist US citizens, is a real threat. But if Texas eventually turns purple or blue, the Dem ideology will not be the same as that of the earlier party with the same name.
You are correct. With tens of thousands of illegal rats voters pouring over the border every month it’s just a matter of time before Texas turns and once Texas turns it’s truly over. We can thank traitors like Ryan and Roberts for killing the last chance to stop it.
Over my dead body and empty 357.
True but TX voted almost exclusively dim up till 1980 and has been R since, Kali is almost the exact opposite
Yep, very sick.
I would have to think long and hard before referring to obama as President.
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