A couple of corrections: Ras was not the most accurate. Ras had Trump winning the pop vote by 1.5%.
Richard Baris at People’s Pundit Daily had Cankles winning the pop vote and Trump winning the EC with PA, MI, FL, and NC-—his own polling however had Trump winning WI and he admitted he didn’t believe his own polling. So he called WI the night before for Cankles.
Gallup, whose # for Trump is exceptional, does not use “likely” voters. But Gallup now has the GOP with a whopping THREE point advantage in the generic “identify.”
I have never seen this in my life. The most I’ve seen, briefly, was a GOP 1 point advantage. Rs win elections when down as much as three. So this is very significant.
BTW, in 1972 with Nixon’s massive landslide, the Rs gained only a few seats in the House (still held a minority) and lost two senate seats!
I wonder if the LA tracking poll will be as accurate as it was in 2016.
Will they go for accuracy again or will they try to fudge in order to help the dems?
... and thanks for the detailed info.
That +3 in the generic identify has got to have Pelosi terrified.