Unless the Dems choose not to run a candidate, Amash won’t be reelected as a Loonertarian. Even Ron Paul wasn’t going to take the risk to run as one. Amash would be better off making a clean switch to the Demonrats at this point. He already votes like one.
Amash has a zero% chance of ever winning a rat primary.
It’s too late for him to file as a Libertarian, he could run as a write in in the Libertarian primary (presumably he’d win cause I don’t think anyone even filed) or run as an Independent (July deadline for the latter). He’d 100% come in a poor third but could potentially tip it to the rat.
The rats have a real candidate, Obama DOJ lackey Hillary Scholten. I don’t envision a Greg Orman scenario.
Ah, but if he officially joined the RATS (instead of just routinely voting with them), he couldn't make the media rounds claiming to be a "principled constitutional conservative" anymore like he does now as an "Independent".
Since it looks like he's not running for re-election though, I could see him becoming a card-carrying RAT once he's an EX-Congressman though, just to "stick it" to the GOP more and stay in the public spotlight trashing them.
Probably spew the usual "I didn't leave the party, they left me" nonsense.