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To: Wonder Warthog

There are so many things wrong with that Business Insider report, I do not know where to start.

First, the report is written by a Business Insider “science” writer.

She compared two sets of CDC data that cannot be compared.

The “final” Influenza death data - around 0.1% (almost 0.2% in 2018) - is derived from mathematical models that take around 6 months to process.

Her numbers for COVID are based on raw data - she divides the current number of COVID deaths by the current number of confirmed infections.

If she calculated the Influenza death rate with the influenza raw data, she would get the same cockeyed results that she got with the COVID raw data.

Until the CDC publishes an estimate of how many people were infected with COVID, it is impossible to calculate a final Case Fatality Rate.

My own ball park estimate is 30-35 million COVID infections, based on the nearly 18 million tests performed thus far. The antibody test numbers (for recovered victims) were still not being published the last time I checked, about 4 days ago. Without the antibody numbers, there is no way to make a final estimate of total infections.

Based on my 30 million estimate - which is completely reasonable - the CFA for COVID is 0.4%, roughly twice as high as influenza in 2018.

In addition, the author says nothing about the fraudulent counting method for COVID deaths.

Presumed COVID deaths are still being counted as confirmed deaths.

And, 100% of the people who die “with” COVID are classified as COVID fatalities.

NOTHING like that happens when the CDC counts influenza deaths.

COVID-19 is a common cold virus.

It can be very dangerous for the elderly and the infirm.

For healthy people under age 65, it is just a cold - sometimes severe, sometimes with no symptoms at all.


11 posted on 06/02/2020 6:11:25 AM PDT by zeestephen
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To: zeestephen

Please don’t waste my time with blather. Show me the SOURCES of your data (links). I could care less about “your” calculations.

FYI, I’ve looked up the influenza death tolls (not rates) from 2010 to present, and those average 37,000 per year over the ten years. COVID is TODAY at over 100,000 dead and still increasing at about 1000 per day with a time span of far less than a full year.


12 posted on 06/02/2020 7:34:16 AM PDT by Wonder Warthog (No Longer Tolerating Trolls!)
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