Why collectively poll swing States at all?
More informative than a national poll. Easier than doing a poll in each of 10 states.
Whomever wins the popular vote in the swing states is almost certainly the winner of EV. UNLIKE NPV
In ‘16, let’s give 205 EV to DJT. including NE2.
203 to HRC. include Maine statewide.
Poll the 10 swing states. Popular vote in those 10.
Trump won by 244,000.
18,270,000
18,026,000
0.67% margin.
Razor thin large states went to trump. Random chance really.