Posted on 07/23/2020 8:25:26 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
Are we supposed to be suspicious of motives if the US produces a working and effective vaccine? Politico seems a bit suspicious of the Trump administrations motives to fast-track a vaccine to end a pandemic that has killed hundreds of thousands and has brought economic activity to a near-standstill. They worry that Trumps trying to rush a vaccine before it can be proven safe, or perhaps will just claim one has been found even if nothing is ready to use by early November:
While the race to find an effective vaccine for Covid-19 has crucial implications for nations around the world, it also carries political ramifications in the United States with Trump banking heavily on finding a vaccine to quell both the pandemic and mounting unhappiness over his handling of the coronavirus response.
Buoyed by a series of encouraging early trial results, the administration is laying the groundwork for a high-profile rollout of initial coronavirus vaccines in as little as three months. Its a best-case timetable that also tracks with the final weeks before the Nov. 3 election. The White Houses Operation Warp Speed has poured billions of dollars into developing a vaccine in record time, funding several efforts in parallel and buying up doses of the experimental shots in a wager that one will ultimately pay off.
There is virtually no chance that the U.S. will have a proven vaccine by Election Day, several top vaccine experts told POLITICO. It could also take well into 2021 to produce and distribute the hundreds of millions of shots needed to inoculate the entire country.
Yet at the same time, drugmakers sprint through early clinical trials means leading vaccine candidates could begin to show indications of their effectiveness by late October, offering Trump the opportunity to seize on them as a potential game-changer.
To be fair, its not just Trump skeptics that have been gaming out this possibility. A couple of weeks ago, Fox Business also highlighted an argument that Trump could win in November with a game-changer in the fall. And that game-changer is
Theres still a path for Trump to win, Valliere said. But, its a really narrow path.
Additionally, BioNTech CEO Ugur Sahin told The Wall Street Journal that his companys experimental COVID-19 vaccine is on track for regulatory approval by the end of the year.
Such developments would go a long way toward lowering the mortality rate and restoring economic confidence, which has been rattled by the sharpest slowdown of the post-World War II era.
Investors pulled into the market amid the calm would need to buy $400 billion of stocks to reach their historical median equity exposure, according to Kolanovic. He believes that could cause a rotation out of the high-flying momentum stocks and into value, helping drive the market to new highs.
The result would be an environment where investors who missed out on the rally off the March lows could get a second chance at bat, Kolanovic said.
If theres some credible sign of a vaccine this fall, that could help Trump, said Valliere, of AGF Investments.
So yes, its permissible to calculate the political value of vaccine progress. In fact, its been pretty clear that the sustainability of economic reopening is tied to finding a vaccine that at least allows for a significant period of immunity, and no one disputes that economic recovery will impact the election. Trump has certainly made no secret of his desire to get a V-shaped recovery under way well before the election, or that re-election is at least part of his interest in that.
However, calling it an October surprise is rather silly. Weve been tracking vaccine progress since the search launched in March, and trial timetables have been fairly well known ever since. We have been fortunate thus far in that the leading candidates have succeeded in early trials at both immunity boosting and keeping side effects to a minimum in the limited experimental uses so far. We also have known for weeks if not months that the Trump administration had committed to buying hundreds of millions of doses at stage 3 testing. That was an explicitly stated step in Operation Warp Speed, just in case one or more vaccines work, in order to expedite their use. None of this is a surprise at all; it will just be really good news if indeed one or more vaccines do prove effective and safe by early autumn.
If we get a vaccine by October, people know it might not get into their arms by the first Tuesday in November but it will come shortly afterward, thanks to Operation Warp Speed. Why wouldnt that be a legitimate win for Trump? And shouldnt we all hope that we succeed in the mission to find a vaccine, no matter whos president when it happens?
It would certainly be a nice thing to make the MSM-Democrats think will be Trump's October Surprise.
I am going to bet, no.
You can feel the democrats and their left-wing media, hoping that no covid-19 vaccine is developed before the elections. To them, people getting sick and dying and not working, is preferable to having Trump get re-elected.
It won’t matter what he does. He could cure cancer and they would hate him for it. He could remove all the red tape and cure Covid (for those who think a vaccine is a cure) and they would hate him.
They hate him. Period.
It would be a big plus and ceratinly a welcome thing, but government wheels have always spun dreadfully slow no matter who’s running the show - could be years, if ever. (at least in the US).
Well, it may be an “October Surprise”... but it WON’T be safe or effective.
Nope....not gonna take it anyway.
I called it weeks ago when the latest results from Oxford and Moderna came out. Oxford got in front of Congress and said they expect to have doses available by September or October. Even if that slips to late October, President Trump can announce a safe and effective vaccine before the election and laugh at Joe Biden decaying in his bunker.
The peace and love crowd find themselves rooting for a disease to kill thousands more, because they welcome death more than remaining out of power.
Its the alcohol
“Trump Wanting To Inject All Of Us With Disinfectant” Part Deux
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There are some people (even here) for whom a vaccine will never be truly "safe" enough.
There are some people (even here) for whom a vaccine will never be truly "effective" enough.
But for the adults in the room this WILL be "enough" to applaud the ending of a "national emergency" which will quickly deflate the tinpot dictators aka State Governors' "declaration of emergency".
So now suddenly they are concerned about rushing a vaccine if it might help Trump.
An EO requiring ID to vote in all Federal elections will be the October surprise....
Yes, that’s correct. Why is that in question? That’s true for a great many things. Your own body would not survive ingesting a sufficient quantity of sanitizer either.
Exactly right.
The anti-vaxxer crowd will always have an objection to it; often rooted in some conspiracy theory or complete misrepresentation or misunderstanding of how it works (e.g. “it’s going to re-write your DNA and turn you into a wombat!!!”) That’s fine, they can choose not to take it. Just like they can choose to disable the airbags or cut the brake lines in their cars (because brakes aren’t a natural way to stop your car!).
But what the President knows, and all of us SHOULD know is that the way to end this entire nightmare and return to normal is with the introduction of a safe and effective vaccine. And when it gets announced, President Trump becomes the hero who brought this whole thing to an end.
And he’ll run campaign ad after campaign ad with clips of him announcing the start of Operation Warp Speed (the rapid vaccine development program), him telling people it will be here soon, and finally him announcing that it’s been approved and is being distributed. Joe Biden can just pick up the phone and concede the election to President Trump the day that announcement happens, because it’s over at that point.
Mandatory? with a free tracing mechanism along with it?
L8r 4
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