Posted on 08/18/2020 12:32:17 PM PDT by DoughtyOne
PING LIST - Please contact me as needed...
COVID-19 Update # 153
As of 08/17/2020 23:15 PDST United States CDC - Provisional Numbers
As of 00/00/2020 23:45 PDST Johns Hopkins University - Capture Nations Informaton
As of 00/00/2020 23:45 PDST Johns Hopkins University - Capture Counties Information
As of 00/00/2020 23:46 PDST Johns Hopkins University - Process JHU Data
As of 00/00/2020 23:59 PDST WorldofMeters - Document Core Numbers
As of 00/00/2020 23:59 PDST WorldofMeters - Capture Nations Information
As of 00/00/2020 23:59 PDST WorldofMeters - Capture States Information
As of 00/00/2020 00:00 PDST WorldofMeters - Data Processing begins...
As of 00/00/2020 ??:?? PDST Publish COVID-19 Update - 00/00/00
Thank you for stopping by to check out the COVID-19 Update.
Here you can find...
Section: 01 Commentary, Special Reports, COVID-19 Update Info, & System Notes
Section: 02 the United States Situation
Section: 03 the Global Community Situation Outside China
Section: 04 the Global Community Situation Including China with reservations
Section: 05 the Mortality Report
Section: 06 Miscellaneous Reports of Interest
Section: 07 the United States, Counties (alphabetical / case no descending)
Section: 08 the United States, States Ranking, Provisional Numbers, & Territories
Section: 09 the United States, Ranked with Other Nations
Section: 10 the End of this COVID-19 Update
Section: 11 Data Sources and a Link to My Own Spreadsheet
Section: 12 Linked Spreadsheet: Counties, States, Provisional, Territories, & Nations
Section: 13 Links to Other Resources
Section: 01
Commentary, Special Reports, and COVID-19 Update Information2
Interesting Tid-bits (hopefully)
Fatalities and New Cases in the United States
Fatalities rose by 66 cases from the previous day, to come in at 588
yesterday. That was a 2.26% increase from the same day the week before.
New Cases rose by 8,552 from the day before, to come in at 45,395.
That was a 12.71% decrease from the same day the week before.
Fatalaties and New Cases on the Global Scene
Fatalities rose by 250 cases from the previous day, to come in at 4,366
yesterday. That was a 15.44% decrease from the same day last week.
New Cases rose by 13,168 from the day before, to come in at 224,250.
That was a 3.71% decrease from the same day the week before.
Section: 02
The Following Addresses the Numbers Here in
the United States of America
Here we go...
The declared New Case level rose yesterday by 8.552 cases, which lofted
the daily total to 45,395.
This was the second lowest day in while, even though higher than the day before.
Concept of adding in Active Cases and Serious Critical here, courtesy of amorphous
Here are more of our numbers...
Active cases dropped domestically and globally yesterday.
The Serious/Critical case count dropped again to roughly where it had been
two days before.
Our Slice of the COVID-19 Pie
The growth of our slice of the pie has been increasing recently.
Here are the numbers I've been tracking, Globally Declared and Active Cases.
We looked better in both these categories yesterday.
Active Cases in the United States / Chart
Unlike some of the other charts here, we should see a good rise and
fall at some point withone.
Note that this presents the single, seven, and fourteen day averaging versions.
Remember, these are not new Declared Cases. These are remaing Active Cases.
Back in early June, I was hoping we were finally seeing the light. Welllll...
not exactly. Look where we've gone from there. Now the red seven-day averaging
line is beginning to resemble the same flattening from that June period. I hope
that matures with the U. S. making a good go at defeating this disease.
Testing and New Case Figures
Requested by stocksthatgoup
Some folks have shown an interest in seeing the COVID-19 Test figures compared
to the New Cases being declared. The following Data addresses that. The size
of it just doesn't seem reasoned to me.
Why/how could the posive portion of the popoulace vary ass much as 2.0% from day
to day? I could a lot easier see a 2.0% trend over three or four days. One day?
Nah.
Testing dropped a bit more lower yesterday. The positive percentage rose off
the lowest 14 day averaging figure since July 4th.
When I came to this category yesterday, I was focused on some changes I made
to the Testing presentation here. I wanted folks to understand what they were
looking at was presented a little different than it had been before.
Folks, if you notice something like this, make your own observation on the
thread.
Ex: It wasn't touched on in the Update, but the 14 day Positive Testing
percentage was the lowest it has been since July 4th. That's a good thing!
Making statements that I hide the good information is just silly. In a number
of other places on that same thread, I did just that. This one slipped by.
The nice showing wouldn't even have been noticed, if I hadn't provided the
information that revealed it.
Again: Take care to note the changes in the data provided here. The Chart
is a bit more useful now when it comes to see our pathway more clearly.
Note the third line there. It provides a 14 Day Average tracking.
Note also that I juggled the colors of those lines a little because
I wanted the 14 Day Average line to stand out more than the Single day.
Then again, also note the Chart color key at the top of the graphic.
The U. S. Stats / w 10 Day Averaging / Fr: 03/17
Requested by: Texas Eagle
This data and chart presents things in a little different way. In the
chart it is easy to see the relationship of these numbers.
The Chart will use the data all the way back to 03/17, but the data displayed
here will only go back one month.
Here is the chart to match.
New Case declarations seem to be tapering off ever so slightly, according to
that blue top line there.
Active Cases are flattening in the United States. That's good to see.
I like the complexity of this chart compared to the global version that looks
pretty textbook by comparison.
United States Movers and Shakers...
I will present the U S States with the most New Cases and New
Fatilities rankings.
Here we go...
Texas took the top spot on both metrics here yesterday.
Section: 03
The Following Addresses the Global Numbers
without Mainland thereChina
Here is the first set of Data for the Global Outside China
Territories
New Caes turned higher as we headed into the higher reporting days of the week.
Fata.lities, Recoveries, Resolved, Active Cases, and
Serious/Critical Cases - Globally, Excluding M/L China
Concept of adding in Active Cases and
Serious/Critical here, courtesy of amorphous
Here we go...
Active Cases fell off in the global scene yesterday. Serious/Critical cases
continue to ebb lower.
How is the Global Community Outside China Doing,
Without U. S. numbers?
Let's see...
This metric was higher yesterday, but still low by recent standards.
fee
Okay, look at that. Levels were higher heading back into the higher reporting
days of the week.
As for the U. S., our blue column looks better than it has in a while.
The blue line for the U. S. was headed down, then pretty much flat, but
last two days there has been a marked movement down. Let's hope that
continues.
The Active Cases outside China Globally / Chart
As in the U. S. version of this, we should see a good rise and fall at
some point these two.
Note that these present the one day and then 7 and 14 day averaging versions.
Remember, these are not new declared Cases. These are remaing active cases.
Special Section on France, Germany, Italy, Spain, and the U. K.
Case growth.
Jim Noble mentioned he'd like to see the US numbers added here. I added them
in on 06/21/2020. I did not add them to the chart because it would have
dwarfed the European nations chart lines. (they would have been reduced to
about 15% of their normal size)
Let's Look at Some Numbers in Five Day Increments:
You can see Spain's line there. That's quite a jump. The previous
day they submitted no new numbers, so this was a two day growth you're
seeing there. It was so pronounced, I check several places to see if I
had pulled down the right acurate number. I had.
France has taken a pronounced turn for the worse in the last month.
Sweden and It's Neighbors, Who Has the Best Tactic Against COVID-19?
Sweden is doing its own thing with regard to isolating. I think most people
are aware of it by now.
Here are some numbers to help us look at this issue.
Sweden's numbers are growing more rapidly than they were.
The Nethherlands New Cases have taken a decided turn for the worse.
Global Movers and Shakers...
I will present the top fifty nations with the most New Cases and New
Fatilities.
Here we go...
India took both top spots yesterday, while the U. S. came in well off the
pace of the leader(s).
Global osChina Stats / w 10 Day Averaging / Fr: 03/05
Requested by: Texas Eagle
This data and chart presents things in a little different way. In the
chart it is easy to see the relationship of these numbers.
The Chart will use the data all the way back to 03/05, but the data
displayed here will only go back one month.
Here is the chart to match.
I like being able to follow the movement of these stats visually.
Section: 04
The Following Addresses the Global Numbers
including Mainland China*
Mainland China's numbers are 0.009% of today's total global numbers.
A Look at Declared, Resolved<, and Active Cases, Includes M/L China
End of day figures follow:
Well we did make it to over a 70.00% rate of Resolved Cases.
I'm glad to see that, and wonder how much higher that will go in the short term.
Fatalities, Recoveries, Resolved, Active, and Serious/Critical
Cases Globally, Including M/L China
Concept of adding in Active Cases and
Serious/Critical here, courtesy of amorphous
Active Cases have fallen again. The Serious/Critical case load has moderated a
bit, and looks better each day recently.
Section: 05
the Mortality Report
Here is the data for four entities...
Here are the figures for the growing case totals for four entities.
We hear all sorts of stories about how these figures are wildly off. The CDC
has studied them and seems to think they may actually be on the low side of
things. I am providing the CDC Provential Numbers down below. Not sure if
anyone has a rock solid number. I doubt it is possible. This is what is
reported out by WoM and JHU. Check out the CDC numbers too.
Charts like this one only show growth. That's why I recently took the advice
of a FReeper and added in a new chart for the U. S. and Global outside China
regions.
Here are figures revealing the daily growth for those four entities.
Fatalities did rise yesterday, but they were still low. It was a Monday, and
each week it's nice to see numbers significantly lower for a day or two.
Since the beginning of COVID-19's activity in the U. S., higher New Cases were
soon followed by elevated Fatalities. If we have gone to school on the data
of this disease, we know who should avoid exposure the most. So if the
demographic that has little to fear from the disease is out there getting
infected, it may not be a bad thing at all. If the Fatalities remain low,
vastly higher cases may simply increase the rapidity of the saturation of the
people in public who have already fought it off. And that may facilitate the
end of the disease. I'm sure others know this, but I did want to explain why
my thinking has fluctuated over time regarding these dynamics.
Here, let's look at data for the U. S. broken out by itself.
Fatalities rose by 66 in the United States. Still a decent number, but then
it was still 2.26% higher than the same day the week before.
We edged higher last week by a 2.21% daily average, but are down this week
by a 4.76% average. That's really too close to tell much, since the different
reporting on different days of the week can sway things, particularly in the
first two low days of the week. We'll have to see how that fleshes out over
the following days.
Section: 06
Population Saturation
Here are figures revealing how many people in each population base represent one
case. I'm also showing what percent of each population base is infected at this
time.
In each categore, things looked better here. Would like to see that
continue.
Nations With Lots of Cases
At the end of the day yesterday, there were:
It's hard to belive there are that many nations with 1,000 cases.
Daily Case Report Evaluation
I'll be keeping tabs on the daily tallies for days of the week for a while. Folks have
noticed some patterns of larger and smaller data entry on certain days, and on Fridays
sometimes the numbers get noticeably larger because of it.
And we now know Thursdays have potential to break out also. Yikes!
IMO Let's check out the numbers and a chart.
For the time being, we're not seeing the break out numbers to the high side
we were seeing weeks back. We seem to have plateaued just shy of 300,000
cases per day, after my predicting "a 300k day anytime now". Hey, I jinxed it.
Good, if true...
Section: 07
The Top 200 Counties in the U. S., by Number of Cases
This little report lists 200 Counties in the United States in declining Case numbers.
There is also a listing that is alphabetical. This report list only the entities
and the number of Cases in the two different sorts.
It will also be available as a downloadable Excel file in Section 12.
For months Puerto Rico was showing up with the Counties. That stopped in early July
if memory serves me well.
Section: 08
States of the Union and the District of Columbia, Compared to Each Other
Each of these pages is sorted differently. Look at the red header above
the columns to see which column was used for the sort on any given page.
For your review...
For your review...
For your review...
For your review...
For your review...
For your review...
For your review...
For your review...
For your review...
If this area interests you, please use this LINK to the source, and review
the lengthy description and explanation of it's development process.
There are two reports. The presentation above comes from the second one,
and the detailed segmented information below it, may interest you.
These can now also be found under the states on the Alphabetical list. The
states and these entity's numbers should be combined to match that of the
U. S. figures each day.
Section: 09
The United States, Where it Ranks With Other Nations?
Each of these pages is sorted differently. Look at the red header above
the columns to see which column was used for the sort on any given page.
The U. S. will be highlighted red here so we can find it easily in the list.
There was 215 nations on this list last night now. I didn't want to post
seven lists with 215 nations on it, so I picked the top 50. Coincidentally,
one report category had the U. S. at 41st, so it wasn't showing up on the
list with the 31 top nations on it. That wasn't the reason why I extended the
list length, but it did work out well.
I work on the nations right next to the states on my spreadsheet. The
states with the District of Columbia come in at a total of 51 lines.
I decided to keep the international reports near that length, and 50
was good enough.
Here we go... for your review.
For your review...
For your review...
For your review...
For your review...
For your review...
Around 06/23, China started putting out it's testing numbers. I thought
they were suspect. The number they put out was 90,410,000. Ours and most
everyone else's numbers are specific. For instance on 06/28, our number of
of tests at the ned of the day was 32,592,368. That specificity separates it
from the number China put out. It was rounded to the 10 thousandth place. In
addition, China has not updated that number once. So I do not inlude China in
the Nation's Comparison Sort regarding Testing, and any place that reports out
global testing numbers for a top level comparison.
The day before yesterday, we rose to 17th in testing per million. We remained
there yesterday. It's the highest we've been on the chart. We have provided
a phenominal amount of tests.
Section: 10
Here is what it is all about. From January 20th to the present.
This concludes our look back at yesterday's data. Take care...
Section: 11
Data for this Report Sourced From:
LINK WorldoMeters
LINK Johns Hopkins University
The Center for Systems Science and Engineering (CSSE)
LINK United States Center for Disease Control - Provisional Numbers
Listed in the order of current utilization...
LINK You are Invited to Review My COVID-19 Spreadsheet (XLSX)
There is not an XLS version available for distribution at this time.
Section: 12
Other Features:
LINK US Counties200, States & DC51, Territories & Other Entities11, Nations219,
and the CDC Provisional Counts53
Five Excel Spreadsheet datasets you can sort for your own studies...
Section: 13
Links to other resources:
I cannot vouch for these sites. Please use your own judgement.
LINK Adventist Health Coronavirus Resource Hub - Scroll down for useful info
LINK Antibiotic Vitamin, the (Vitamin D)
Good article on Vitamin D's likely role in prevention of infection. Thanks Blam.
LINK CDC Data for Download - Scroll down - Excel required. Includes death stats.
LINK CDC National Center for Health Services
Provisional deaths as determined by review of vital documents. Much lower...
LINK CDC Secondary Data and Statistics - Portal Entry / Look around
LINK Coronavirus (COVID-19) Map
LINK Coronavirus infection risk may be reduced by Vitamin D
by Former CDC Chief Dr. Tom Frieden
LINK Coronavirus Spread Quickly Around the World in Late 2019, Study Shows
the University College London Genetics Institute
LINK COVID-19 Deaths Broken Out by Thirds, 05/07/20 Map of US Counties
Very revealing display of Concentrated Death Zones - thanks hoosiermama
LINK COVID-19 First U.S. Case, Treatment, features Remdesivir
New England Journal of Medicine article
LINK Cytokine Storm, med Actemra, Physician near death saved
LINK Diamond Princess Review at 634 Case Point of Eventual 712
LINK Hydroxychloroquine Article: International Poll
Daily Mail Reports, Most Effective Treatment According to 6,000 Physicians
LINK Hydroxychloroquine Has about 90 Percent Chance of Helping COVID-19 Patients
the Association of American Physicians and Surgeons, reports 91.6% of patients improved clinically
LINK IHME - Institute for Health Matrix and Evaluation
LINK National Institutes of Health - Cornavirus (COVID-19)
LINK Nasal Irrigation is the Key, COVID-19 Related
LINK New York City - interesting breakdown, borough, age, sex
LINK On the Origin of CCP Virus, A Documentary Movie (turn up the sound)
Epoch Times: I highly recommend this very well documented report.
LINK Rt COVID-19
Calculates and displays the Rt Factor for each state. Thanks FreedomPoster.
LINK World Health Organization
BTTT.
Simple solution to the pandemic,,,,Make HCQ and Azithromycin OTC drugs so anyone who develops a cough and/or fever can go the nearest drug store and self medicate with the drugs along with Zinc Sulfate with correct dosage within 48 hours of symptoms and pandemic over.,,,,,instead of waiting a few days to get tested and 5 days for the results,,,,if over 60 years of age,,,,you’re dead.
So what I am looking at for the USA is the 7 day trend line has flattened. So we COULD see it decline as long as the south east cooperates.
Texas and Florida are the ones to watch. Florida is quite the wild roller coaster ride, falling to under 100 a day leaping back to 221, ect...
Does anyone believe this crap?
Do you know what the solid numbers are?
Let the rest of us know when you have better source.
No one knows the real numbers. There have been dozens of cases of hospital FRAUD, counting ANYONE deceased as a Covid death.
Yes, but nobody can say if the numbers are off by 1%, 2%,
30%, or some other number.
We are all aware of the reports out there. We read on
the same forum you do.
I don’t claim the JHU and WoM numbers are 100% accurate.
To have a discussion, we have to have something to talk
about. We use their numbers.
We will until something better comes along.
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